04/19/2022

Good Day, I don’t want to come across as negative. Just because the market is not what we want it to be does not mean everything is bad. Quite simply we must play the cards we are dealt. That said, I hate to keep repeating myself but this is going to require patience. Although the major indices have yet to fall 20% to meet the definition of a bear market the majority of stocks have been there for a while. ...

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04/12/2022

Good Evening, We’ve been saying it here for over a year. We’ve talked about it in the blogs and we’ve talked about it on Facebook. Yet many folks are in panic mode because the market isn’t bouncing back the way that it did for the past 10 years. I told you then and I’m telling you now. That was not normal! Artificial market stimulus created by the Fed put support under the market for that entire time. Now that support ...

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*****Interfund Transfer*****

Good Morning, It’s time to adjust our allocation. The new allocation is 100/C. Please remember that this is the percentage of money that we have invested in each fund, not the money that is taken from your check and deposited into thrift. That deposit should always be 100% G Fund. That automatically protects your deposit in the event that it is made on a bad day for the market. The funds that accumulate in the G Fund are always picked up ...

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04/05/2022

Good Morning, I’d love to tell you the overall picture has changed and for the better, but the reality the market is facing pretty much the same issues that it was facing when we talked last week. We still have inflation, a hawkish fed, the yield curve inversion, and the war in the Ukraine. Not a lot has changed. There was one major shift in the war in the Ukraine. As Russian forces retreated from the suburbs of Kiev it ...

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03/29/2022

Good Day, Investing in the current market is much more complicated than it has been in recent years. As we have discussed several times lately it is due to the rising interest rate environment. Now, if only it was that simple! Virtually everything is related to everything else in the market and that’s where it all becomes complicated. As of this morning, the market is rallying off of news that the Russians and Ukrainians are sitting down for negotiations once ...

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03/22/2022

Good Afternoon, First things first! I’ll probably be writing more of these blogs on Tuesday morning rather than Tuesday night. As most of you may or may not remember I also have a music ministry which takes up more than an equal amount of my time. We will be playing praise and worship for Celebrate Recovery group that meets on Tuesday evenings and that is about the last evening that I still have available. So I’ll likely do them on ...

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****Interfund Transfer****

Good Morning, It’s time to adjust our allocation. The new allocation is 100/S. Please remember that this is the percentage of money that we have invested in each fund, not the money that is taken from your check and deposited into thrift. That deposit should always be 100% G Fund. That automatically protects your deposit in the event that it is made on a bad day for the market. The funds that accumulate in the G Fund are always picked up ...

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03/15/2022

Good Evening, So what’s changed? Not much although we did have a little relief rally today. The war in the Ukraine is still shaping the market over the short term and inflation is influencing the long term. Speaking of inflation, the Federal Reserve kicked off it’s two day policy meeting today. It is widely expected that the Fed will raise short term interest rates a quarter point this month for the first time since 2018 . There was a lot ...

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03/08/2022

Good Evening, These are wild days to be sure. Short term trading continues to dominated by the war between Russia and the Ukraine. The narrative there is that Russia will ultimately occupy the Ukraine but it hasn’t happened yet. Every day that the Ukrainians live to fight another day leaves hope that somehow they will outlast Russia. The conflict leads to a great deal of uncertainty about how western sanctions on Russia will effect the world economy. Just today the ...

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03/01/2022

Good Evening, The first thing you must remember in this market is your not down. You’ve made a lot of money in the last several years. You are off your high but your not down! I’ll be the first to admit though that we are about 4-5% off our high more than we should be. I have explained why that is a fact a couple times already so I won’t do it again. It looks like I’m making an ...

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