01/25/2021

Good Evening, Can they or can’t they….that is how the market is trading right now. Can they pass a stimulus bill or can’t they. Can they get people vaccinated or can’t they? Can they stop Covid 19 before new vaccine resistant strains develop or can’t they? Can they get their mind off of partisan politics long enough to do any of the things I already mentioned or can’t they? In the same breadth can they impeach former president Trump and second time or can’t they? How much time will they waste while more important issues go unresolved? Does anyone other than the politicians even care?  That’s how the market is trading. Each news release on any of the aforementioned questions increases the volatility of the market just a little more. So it’s certainly a good thing that the market is in a bend but don’t break mode. The charts are still pointing higher and 89% of the companies that have reported so far this quarter have beaten estimates. Despite all the QUESTIONS, these things are what continue to keep the market moving higher and you all know how the market is. The more uncertainty there is, the more downward pressure that builds up. So far it’s nothing the market can’t handle, but it’s definitely worth mentioning and watching. The safety valve popped off just a little today with a slightly negative day. However, unless these folks do something really foolish it will likely be no more than consolidation. As usual we will see what they do on our charts.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a drop of -1.03%. For comparison, the Dow was off -0.07%, the Nasdaq -0.07%, and the S&P 500 -0.15%. The I fund was the only thing in TSP in the green today at +0.15%. Oh well. I’m still extremely thankful for all the good days that God has given in recent weeks.

 

 

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Hold. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +7.11% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

 

01/25/21 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.5178 21.0851 57.4356 79.4762 36.0432
$ Change 0.0012 0.0471 0.2073 -0.1268 -0.2115
% Change day +0.01% +0.22% +0.36% -0.16% -0.58%
% Change week +0.01% +0.22% +0.36% -0.16% -0.58%
% Change month +0.06% -0.52% +2.73% +7.11% +1.85%
% Change year +0.06% -0.52% +2.73% +7.11% +1.85%
Fund L INC L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040
Price 22.429 11.3187 39.4738 11.7976 44.4263
$ Change 0.0023 -0.0001 -0.0027 -0.0011 -0.0058
% Change day +0.01% +0.00% -0.01% -0.01% -0.01%
% Change week +0.01% +0.00% -0.01% -0.01% -0.01%
% Change month +0.68% +1.43% +1.80% +1.98% +2.16%
% Change year +0.68% +1.43% +1.80% +1.98% +2.16%
Fund L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065
Price 12.1231 26.449 12.791 12.7911 12.7912
$ Change -0.0020 -0.0055 -0.0061 -0.0061 -0.0061
% Change day -0.02% -0.02% -0.05% -0.05% -0.05%
% Change week -0.02% -0.02% -0.05% -0.05% -0.05%
% Change month +2.32% +2.48% +3.05% +3.05% +3.05%
% Change year +2.32% +2.48% +3.05% +3.05% +3.05%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger. If you want to learn more about technical analysis check out the website StockCharts.com.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
While we’re talking about questions. Lets ask the ultimate question about our Nation. Can they truly unify the Nation or can they not? Do they want to or do they not? These questions will also go a long way toward determining where this market ends up going. Of course, the stakes are much much greater than that….. Pray for our nation and pray for our leaders whether you voted for them or not. God’s word says that is what we should do and with so much at stake it is kind of a no brainer….. That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades! Peace be with you all.
                                                    God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 




  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…


  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…


  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…