01/02/18

Good Evening, Yes I checked the date twice but I have no doubt that will type 2017 a time or two before I get used to the new year. So feel free to remind me as you almost always do when I make a mistake! Now on to the market. A resurgent tech sector led the market to some nice gains on the first trading session of the year. It’s always good to start out in the green but don’t be surprised to see some type of pullback occur before the end of January. We’re do for one to reset things after the latest run up. That said, I still expect the rally to continue for at least the first two quarters of 2018. I am seeing a bunch of really bullish charts for individual stocks which tells me we should move up. So even though I am expecting to see a pullback soon I am also expecting to make money through the spring. As usual, I’ll remind you that we are not looking at crystal balls but charts so react to whatever you see on the charts. Sometimes they go as expected and sometimes they don’t……..

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment got off to a nice start for 2018 with a gain of +0.88%. For comparison, the Dow was up +0.42%, the Nasdaq +1.50% and the S&P 500 +0.83%. Praise God for a good start to the new year!

 

Wall Street begins 2018 with gains; tech drives momentum

The days trading left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +0.88% for the year. Here are the latest posted returns:

 

12/29/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.5405 18.115 37.6103 48.4661 30.8556
$ Change 0.0030 0.0244 -0.1929 -0.3255 0.1133
% Change day +0.02% +0.13% -0.51% -0.67% +0.37%
% Change week +0.06% +0.51% -0.33% -0.17% +0.94%
% Change month +0.20% +0.48% +1.11% +0.47% +1.60%
% Change year +2.33% +3.82% +21.82% +18.22% +25.42%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.5506 26.8902 30.7362 33.4787 19.3966
$ Change -0.0061 -0.0211 -0.0468 -0.0622 -0.0422
% Change day -0.03% -0.08% -0.15% -0.19% -0.22%
% Change week +0.09% +0.09% +0.10% +0.10% +0.10%
% Change month +0.41% +0.57% +0.81% +0.92% +1.00%
% Change year +6.19% +9.86% +14.54% +16.77% +18.81%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund: Price has formed a classic bullish wedge. I have found this to be a pretty reliable pattern!
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
Our plan remains to be invested in small and mid caps which should get the biggest boost from the new corporate tax cut. So our task remains to monitor our charts to first look for changes in the current market character and second to make sure that we remain in the fund or funds making the best gains. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades.
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 10/06/25

    Good Afternoon, I am certainly praying for all of you effected by the ongoing government shutdown. I have been there done that and it was no fun. So far the market has shook the shutdown off as it obviously thinks that it won’t last long. My thought is that the market won’t give the shutdown…

  • 09/29/25

    Good Morning, Well this months almost over and so far the major indices are still holding modest gains in the +1.5% range. If we can manage to hold onto or add to those gains we will have achieved what a lot of folks said we could not do. We will have made a profit when…

  • 09/22/25

    Good Morning, Well we got the Fed meeting that we wanted with a quarter point interest rate decrease with the indication that the Fed is planning on two more rate cuts in 2025. As a result, we find ourselves in the odd position of holding a profit in late September. I said in last weeks…