02/28/19

Good Evening, Don’t be mistaken, the only news that really matters right now is news about trade negotiations with China. The market has had enough with hints from minor officials. It is ready for action and nothing else will do. The fourth quarter GDP was finally released today after being delayed by the government shutdown and came in better than expected. Normally this would be enough to move the market higher but not today. The market has become impatient with the speed of the trade negotiations and nothing less than a deal will do! The result was a market that struggled today with all the major indices posting moderate losses. Actually, the S&P and Dow both registered their third straight day of losses. We’re going nowhere fast until this issue is resolved!

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment fell back -0.35%. For comparison, the Dow dropped -0.27%, the Nasdaq -0.29%, and the S&P 500 -0.28%.

 

U.S. stocks edge downward as Wall Street takes a pause

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +7.31% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

02/27/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.0605 18.3367 40.1799 51.7294 29.2745
$ Change 0.0012 -0.0484 -0.0152 0.2293 -0.0019
% Change day +0.01% -0.26% -0.04% +0.45% -0.01%
% Change week +0.04% -0.14% +0.02% -0.05% +0.57%
% Change month +0.19% +0.00% +3.47% +5.36% +2.80%
% Change year +0.43% +1.07% +11.76% +17.63% +9.59%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 20.2211 27.7858 31.7697 34.5717 20.0126
$ Change -0.0007 -0.0003 0.0030 0.0051 0.0046
% Change day +0.00% +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% +0.02%
% Change week +0.06% +0.07% +0.12% +0.14% +0.16%
% Change month +0.85% +1.14% +2.17% +2.57% +2.91%
% Change year +2.70% +3.70% +7.20% +8.57% +9.78%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund: The I Fund whipsawed back to a Neutral signal today when the SCTR moved back into the 30’s. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA  or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
F Fund:

 

At this point it’s hurry up and wait. Our task is to monitor our charts to make sure that conditions don’t deteriorate too much while we wait. That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades.

God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 03/23/26

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  • 03/16/26

    Good Morning, Either I am more aware of things than I used to be or the markets these days are just more stressful. I honestly think its the latter. This market is an every other day affair right now. Eventually the current state of affairs will settle down, but for now this is it! So….I…

  • 03/09/26

    Good Day, The sky is falling!! The sky is falling!!! Oil is 100 dollars a barrel. Stagflation is on the way! Oh my, what will we do! Panic Panic Panic! Just listen to the news and you’ll make a bad decision for sure.  Here he goes again! Panic is not a strategy. Folks, we discussed…