02/19/2015

Good Evening,

The market was flat with a slightly negative bias as it waited another day for a decision/agreement on the Greek debt issue. It is my expectation that the market won’t make any big moves one way or the other until this situation is resolved. This market continues to feel different than it did in the past and that baffles many traders, who (even after the five years that have passed since the mortgage crisis) are still looking for it to trade like it used to. They don’t want to accept the fact that there is a fundamental shift in the way that this market runs. If you use the rules that you used prior to 2008 you will never be in line with this market. I know that first hand, as I tried to do so last year and under-performed as a result. It was the worst performance that our allocation ever logged. Adapting to this new market is the biggest challenge that exists and it will continue to be so for the foreseeable future. Better get used to it.

 

 

The day’s trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment made a slight gain of +0.019%, and AMP continued to roll with its seventh consecutive gain at +0.1916%. For comparison, the Dow dropped -0.24%, The Nasdaq added +0.37%, the S&P slipped -0.11%. AT&T was -1.16%, Alaska Air Group -1.39%, Facebook was +3.53%, and Apple slipped -0.21%. With God’s help, our allocations did well again today!

 

 

Dow, S&P 500 slip with energy, Wal-Mart; Nasdaq gains

 

 

 

The day’s action left us with the following signals: C-buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 30/C, 40/S, 30/I. Our allocation is now +1.93% for the year not including today’s gains. Here are the latest posted results:
02/18/15
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.6549 16.9227 27.7847 37.6842 25.5164
$ Change 0.0006 0.0617 -0.0073 0.1346 0.1830
% Change day +0.00% +0.37% -0.03% +0.36% +0.72%
% Change week +0.02% -0.14% +0.15% +0.47% +0.86%
% Change month +0.08% -1.38% +5.44% +5.78% +4.12%
% Change year +0.26% +0.72% +2.28% +3.82% +5.36%
L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.6095 23.3408 25.4046 27.101 15.4196
$ Change 0.0121 0.0358 0.0494 0.0601 0.0387
% Change day +0.07% +0.15% +0.19% +0.22% +0.25%
% Change week +0.08% +0.21% +0.27% +0.31% +0.36%
% Change month +0.99% +2.52% +3.27% +3.80% +4.31%
% Change year +0.91% +1.93% +2.41% +2.74% +3.08%
Let’s hit the charts…
C Fund: The C Fund continues to hold at support marked at 2095. This chart if a solid buy.
220
S Fund: This Chart continues to rise above support at 88.99 within its newly established ascending channel. It remains on a solid buy signal.
2
I Fund: The I Fund continues to strengthen as it rises above resistance just under 64. It has established a solid ascending channel and looks to have the most room to run of any of our equity based funds. This Fund has a strengthening buy signal
3
F Fund: The F Fund has dropped out of its long standing ascending channel and looks to be consolidating just below its 50 EMA. It is currently a weak neutral signal with three out of four indicators in a negative configuration. The lone hold out price is now trading below the 50 EMA and will generate a sell signal should it continue to weaken. I would not allocate money here at this time.
4
God blessed us with another good day. I would definitely consider increasing our allocation to the I Fund if I had another trade, as the overall situation not including Greece is getting better in Europe. Also of note is the fact that the Euro has been stabilizing somewhat against the dollar. Our allocation is working well for now so we’ll continue to let it ride and watch our charts. May God continue to bless your trades. Have a nice evening and stay warm out there!
God bless,
Scott8-)


Written By

Scott Grimes

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