Good Evening, Good riddance February. It was the worst month for the for the S&P 500 since January of 2016. It seemed in the early going that we were going to have a decent day but selling kicked in during the final two hours of the session with the major indices all finishing well in the red. It was pretty much machine selling triggered by renewed worry about interest rates. At this point it’s only speculation but investors have now put a 20% change on a 4th rate increase by the Fed in 2018. I can think of worse things to worry about….
The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment dropped -1.11%. For comparison, the Dow lost -1.50%, the Nasdaq -0.78%, and the S&P 500 -1.11%.
The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +1.94% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results.
| 02/27/18 |
|
|
|
Prior Prices |
| Fund |
G Fund |
F Fund |
C Fund |
S Fund |
I Fund |
| Price |
15.6031 |
17.7023 |
38.7208 |
48.7328 |
31.2192 |
| $ Change |
0.0011 |
-0.0418 |
-0.4930 |
-0.6739 |
-0.2796 |
| % Change day |
+0.01% |
-0.24% |
-1.26% |
-1.36% |
-0.89% |
| % Change week |
+0.03% |
-0.16% |
-0.08% |
-0.79% |
+0.28% |
| % Change month |
+0.20% |
-1.15% |
-2.62% |
-2.70% |
-3.64% |
| % Change year |
+0.40% |
-2.28% |
+2.95% |
+0.55% |
+1.18% |
| |
L INC |
L 2020 |
L 2030 |
L 2040 |
L 2050 |
| Price |
19.6722 |
27.1281 |
31.1361 |
33.9652 |
19.7075 |
| $ Change |
-0.0479 |
-0.1145 |
-0.2284 |
-0.2948 |
-0.1942 |
| % Change day |
-0.24% |
-0.42% |
-0.73% |
-0.86% |
-0.98% |
| % Change week |
+0.00% |
-0.02% |
-0.05% |
-0.07% |
-0.09% |
| % Change month |
-0.48% |
-0.94% |
-1.76% |
-2.13% |
-2.44% |
| % Change year |
+0.62% |
+0.88% |
+1.30% |
+1.45% |
+1.60% |
Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund: The S Fund generated an overall Neutral signal when it’s 5 EMA moved below it’s 50 EMA and the PMO moved into a negative configuration.
I Fund: The I Fund generated an overall Neutral signal when it’s 5 EMA moved below it’s 50 EMA and the PMO moved into a negative configuration.
F Fund: The F Fund generated an overall Neutral signal when the PMO moved into a positive configuration.
Normally I would consider it a negative when bonds improved when stocks dropped. However, in this case I think I’ll make an exception since everybody is so worried about interest rates. When the price of bonds move up treasury yields move down. So at least for the immediate term that should decrease the upward pressure on interest rates! There, I can find a silver lining in every cloud. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades.
God bless, Scott 
***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future.
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at [email protected].
