03/21/19

Good Evening, Well the character of the market has changed yet again. My charts are showing several breakouts indicating to me that the market may be ready to move the next leg up. This positive action was spurred be yesterdays way more dovish than expected Fed statement released after the completion of their monthly policy setting meeting.  The Fed has the power to change everything and they did. The market initially sold off during yesterdays session on concerns that a more dovish Fed signaled problems with the economy. That wasn’t my take on it though. I feel like the Fed was declaring victory upon finally reaching neutral which means that the current interest rate neither increases or decreases the rate of inflation. The Feds target rate for inflation is 2 percent. That said, investors quickly changed their minds during today’s session after digesting multiple positive economic reports. They quickly started buying and fueled the market to one of it’s best days in many weeks. So if the character of the market has indeed changed then where does that leave us? After a careful review of my charts and indicators I have decided to re-enter the equity market and will put in an interfund transfer for 100/C. The C Fund put up a new buy signal and looks ready to possibly move to new highs!

The days rally left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a small gain of +0.02% coming on the heals of a nice +0.43% gain yesterday. For comparison, the Dow added +0.84%, the Nasdaq +1.42%, and the S&P 500 +1.09%. Praise God for the good day!

 

Wall Street rises as Apple, tech shares climb

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Neutral I-Buy, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/F but have put in an interfund transfer that will take effect at the close of business tomorrow for 100/C. Our allocation is now +6.12% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

03/20/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.0858 18.5202 40.6933 50.9036 29.6298
$ Change 0.0012 0.0654 -0.1185 -0.3352 -0.1698
% Change day +0.01% +0.35% -0.29% -0.65% -0.57%
% Change week +0.04% +0.35% +0.07% -0.54% +0.35%
% Change month +0.15% +1.07% +1.54% -1.23% +1.46%
% Change year +0.58% +2.08% +13.19% +15.75% +10.92%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 20.2941 27.904 31.9714 34.8142 20.1612
$ Change -0.0127 -0.0282 -0.0762 -0.1013 -0.0685
% Change day -0.06% -0.10% -0.24% -0.29% -0.34%
% Change week +0.07% +0.07% +0.09% +0.09% +0.09%
% Change month +0.41% +0.50% +0.80% +0.90% +0.97%
% Change year +3.07% +4.14% +7.88% +9.33% +10.60%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
OK. We are putting in an interfund transfer to 100/C effective at the close of business tomorrow. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades.
God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 01/12/26

    Good Morning, I woke up this morning and looked  at the notifications on my phone and I was like what? A criminal investigation of Jerome Powell? What kind of fake Facebook post is that?? Then I saw a thing or two from a couple of the major networks and I immediately realized that this might…

  • 01/05/26

    Good Morning, Lets roll!! It’s a new year. We have a new and perfected system. I feel like we’re ready for anything the market can throw at us. Does that mean I think this is going to be the best year ever? No, not necessarily. I think it’s going to have it’s challenges and I…

  • 12/29/25

    Good Day, Well this is the last blog of 2025. Was it a better year? Well the returns were better but you had to work harder to get them as well. Overall, it was a volatile year with the Fed interest rate/ Inflation issue, tariffs,  the AI trade and the government shut down dominating the…