03/29/19

Good Evening, Is this market volatile or what? One day it’s up big the next day it’s down big and the next day it’s back up. All in all it’s not really moving anywhere. A while back we mentioned the fact that we thought the market would trade sideways with a slight negative bias and that is exactly what it has done. It is currently trading off of two issues one old and one relatively new. The new issue is the yield curve inversion. The last four trading days the market has either moved up or down with the 10 year treasury yield. How long that will continue I cannot say. The second issue is the trade negotiations with China. Optimism that the negotiations are going well lifted the market today. It says here that the market will develop yield curve amnesia if a trade agreement is reached with China. At least for the short term…….

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a gain of +0.36%. For comparison, the Dow added +0.36%, the Nasdaq +0.34%, and the S&P 500 +0.36%. Praise God for a nice day in the green.

 

Wall Street ends up as yields, trade optimism rise

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +6.85% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

03/27/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.0943 18.7072 40.4325 50.3422 29.3937
$ Change 0.0012 0.0386 -0.1881 -0.2347 -0.0078
% Change day +0.01% +0.21% -0.46% -0.46% -0.03%
% Change week +0.04% +0.49% +0.17% +0.60% +0.54%
% Change month +0.20% +2.09% +0.88% -2.32% +0.66%
% Change year +0.64% +3.11% +12.46% +14.47% +10.03%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 20.2828 27.8694 31.8532 34.6531 20.0502
$ Change -0.0094 -0.0205 -0.0544 -0.0716 -0.0480
% Change day -0.05% -0.07% -0.17% -0.21% -0.24%
% Change week +0.13% +0.16% +0.27% +0.31% +0.34%
% Change month +0.36% +0.38% +0.43% +0.43% +0.41%
% Change year +3.01% +4.01% +7.48% +8.83% +9.99%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
We’ll likely see more of the same until we get a new market moving event. I believe that event will be a trade agreement with China in early April. We will see. Keep praying for our group! That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…

  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…

  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…