03/03/2015

Good Evening,

It was inevitable that the market would have some meaningful consolidation after strong run like we’ve had. At this point, there’s no reason to think that today’s selling was anything more than consolidation. That said, any time that the market drops, no matter how routine it may seem, we must raise our level of vigilance to ensure that it doesn’t turn into anything more.

 

The day’s trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gave up -0.4988% and AMP dropped -0.5577%. For comparison the Dow lost -0.47%, the Nasdaq -0.56%, the S&P -0.45%, AT&T -0.66%, Alaska Air Group +1.10% , Facebook -0.19% and Apple +0.21%.

Wall St. falls from records, led by technology stocks

 

 

The day’s action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are now invested at 30/C, 34/S, 36//I. Our allocation is now +3.05% for the year not including today’s results. Here are the latest posted results:
03/02/15
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.6626 16.9381 28.0395 38.0537 25.8795
$ Change 0.0013 -0.0655 0.1722 0.2720 -0.0922
% Change day +0.01% -0.39% +0.62% +0.72% -0.36%
% Change week +0.01% -0.39% +0.62% +0.72% -0.36%
% Change month +0.01% -0.39% +0.62% +0.72% -0.36%
% Change year +0.32% +0.81% +3.22% +4.84% +6.86%
L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.6544 23.4752 25.589 27.3248 15.5635
$ Change 0.0107 0.0367 0.0538 0.0696 0.0442
% Change day +0.06% +0.16% +0.21% +0.26% +0.28%
% Change week +0.06% +0.16% +0.21% +0.26% +0.28%
% Change month +0.06% +0.16% +0.21% +0.26% +0.28%
% Change year +1.17% +2.52% +3.16% +3.59% +4.04%
Lets hit the charts:

C Fund: This Fund is still a strong buy signal with all four indicators in a positive configuration. Price remains within the newly established ascending channel. The new channel is not as steep as the previous one and, as a result, is more sustainable. The PMO has fattened out and the MAC D is close to entering negative territory.

1
S Fund: Ditto; same as the C Fund with the exception that the PMO has turned down slightly.
2
I Fund: This fund also remains on a solid buy signal. Price has now decelerated and is in a new ascending channel that, as in the C and S Fund, is less steep and more sustainable. The PMO turned slightly down and the MAC D is close to entering negative territory.
3
F Fund: The F Fund remains on a Neutral signal with two indicators in a negative configuration. The Williams %R is declining as well and threatening to make it three. Price has now broken down out of the long established ascending channel and may be forming a descending channel which is bearish. This chart is weakening and could soon produce a sell signal if price continues to decline.
4
Today’s action appeared to be no more than consolidation. We will watch our charts closely for further signs of weakness.
God bless and have a nice evening.
Scott8-)


Written By

Scott Grimes

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