03/12/18

Good Evening, Large Cap stocks lagged today after coming under pressure from concerns about the Trump tariffs. Most of the downward pressure come from stocks like Boeing and Caterpillar that utilize a great deal of aluminum and steel. Many large cap companies were also off because they do international business and could be subject to reprisals. Small caps and tech however managed to post moderate gains on the day. So breadth was not as bad as it could have been.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment was down -0.13%. For comparison, the Dow lost -0.62%, the Nasdaq gained +0.36%, and the S&P 500 gave up -0.13%.

 

Dow, S&P weighed down by tariffs while tech boosts Nasdaq

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +3.58% for the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

03/09/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.6153 17.7136 39.3463 50.5254 30.9925
$ Change 0.0012 -0.0202 0.6726 0.7170 0.2406
% Change day +0.01% -0.11% +1.74% +1.44% +0.78%
% Change week +0.06% -0.11% +3.58% +3.95% +2.47%
% Change month +0.07% -0.13% +2.75% +4.85% +0.77%
% Change year +0.48% -2.22% +4.62% +4.25% +0.44%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.7333 27.26 31.3838 34.283 19.9174
$ Change 0.0555 0.1332 0.2667 0.3435 0.2264
% Change day +0.28% +0.49% +0.86% +1.01% +1.15%
% Change week +0.69% +1.18% +2.03% +2.40% +2.73%
% Change month +0.54% +0.90% +1.54% +1.82% +2.08%
% Change year +0.93% +1.38% +2.11% +2.40% +2.69%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund: The I Fund generated an overall buy signal today when it’s PMO moved into a positive configuration.
F Fund: The Bullish wedge is still in play. This one may be heading higher.
The large cap tariff thing effected the C Fund again today. Our Task now is to monitor it’s performance vs the S Fund on our charts. We’ll have to wait and see how this plays out. It’s day to day the way it is trading off the news. There’s no strong reason to jump ship at this time, but that could change. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 09/08/25

    Good Morning, The train left the station after Fridays jobs report. That may have well been the bottom of the current dip. It is now highly likely that the Fed will reduce rates on Sept 17th. More on that later. Right now lets focus on our trains next stop which will be Wednesdays Producer Price…

  • 09/01/25

    Good Afternoon, Happy Labor Day! I hope this note finds you enjoying some fine cuisine fresh off the grill! Well here we are starting a new month. The dreaded month of September. The weakest month for the stock market since the 20’s and here we are 100% invested in equities. What gives? First of all…

  • 08/24/2024

    Good Afternoon, We talked last week about Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole Wyoming being a possible inflection point for the market and that’s exactly what it ended up being. The Fed chairman gave a somewhat dovish address in which he noted that  “the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting…