03/14/17

Good Evening, Not to beat a dead horse to death but the market remains on hold ahead tomorrows interest rate announcement by the FED. Given the current improving economic conditions a rate increase is all but guaranteed. I believe that the aforementioned increase is already baked into to market prices and that short of a surprise tomorrow the market will move on. If anything, it may get a little bump from the FED announcement as any uncertainty will be behind us. Remember, the market hates uncertainly and almost always gives it a negative reaction. The longer the uncertainly goes on the bigger the reaction gets. Can you remember the market anticipating the first rate increase since 2009? No matter how clear Janet Yellen attempted to make it, the more time that passed without an increase the more volatile the market became. So when the increase was finally made the market rallied in relief.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gave up -0.39%. For comparison, the Dow lost -0.21%, the Nasdaq -0.32%, and the S&P 500 -0.34%.

 

Energy drags on Wall St. as oil falls further; airlines slide

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Sell. We are currently invested with 100% in the S Fund. Our allocation is now +3.71% not including the day’s results. Here are the latest posted results:

03/13/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.2583 17.3775 32.8788 42.5154 25.9907
$ Change 0.0030 -0.0236 0.0232 0.1378 0.1220
% Change day +0.02% -0.14% +0.07% +0.33% +0.47%
% Change week +0.02% -0.14% +0.07% +0.33% +0.47%
% Change month +0.09% -1.33% +0.52% -0.91% +1.22%
% Change year +0.47% -0.41% +6.50% +3.71% +5.65%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 18.6824 25.1137 27.8405 29.9051 17.1145
$ Change 0.0097 0.0242 0.0398 0.0501 0.0330
% Change day +0.05% +0.10% +0.14% +0.17% +0.19%
% Change week +0.05% +0.10% +0.14% +0.17% +0.19%
% Change month +0.09% +0.18% +0.26% +0.30% +0.35%
% Change year +1.48% +2.60% +3.74% +4.30% +4.83%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
 
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund: I’m sorry, I don’t see this one going significantly higher any time soon. The SCTR has no pulse!
Lets pray that we get a FED bump tomorrow and no surprises. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 10/06/25

    Good Afternoon, I am certainly praying for all of you effected by the ongoing government shutdown. I have been there done that and it was no fun. So far the market has shook the shutdown off as it obviously thinks that it won’t last long. My thought is that the market won’t give the shutdown…

  • 09/29/25

    Good Morning, Well this months almost over and so far the major indices are still holding modest gains in the +1.5% range. If we can manage to hold onto or add to those gains we will have achieved what a lot of folks said we could not do. We will have made a profit when…

  • 09/22/25

    Good Morning, Well we got the Fed meeting that we wanted with a quarter point interest rate decrease with the indication that the Fed is planning on two more rate cuts in 2025. As a result, we find ourselves in the odd position of holding a profit in late September. I said in last weeks…