03/19/14

Good Evening,

Today was a day when nothing worked. Well, almost nothing… I had one bond fund that managed a gain… The FED hinted at an interest rate hike and traders hit the exits. The dip buyers did step in near the end of the day to take us off the lows. Perhaps tomorrow’s trading will give us some follow through on that buying…

 

Stocks slump on Yellen rate hike remark

 

The day’s action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. The signals kind of reflect the market as a whole. It’s on the fence and ready to lean either way. We are currently invested at 36/C, 42/S, 22/I. Our allocation is -.025% on the year. Here are the latest posted results: 
03/18/14 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.3584 16.0731 24.2999 35.2087 25.3494
$ Change 0.0009 0.0171 0.1749 0.4083 0.1649
% Change day +0.01% +0.11% +0.72% +1.17% +0.65%
% Change week +0.03% -0.11% +1.69% +1.79% +1.29%
% Change month +0.11% -0.10% +0.80% +1.11% -2.14%
% Change year +0.50% +2.11% +1.78% +4.57% -0.84%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 16.956 22.0459 23.7774 25.2156 14.2887
$ Change 0.0283 0.0918 0.1269 0.1565 0.0996
% Change day +0.17% +0.42% +0.54% +0.62% +0.70%
% Change week +0.33% +0.83% +1.06% +1.22% +1.37%
% Change month +0.10% +0.03% +0.03% +0.04% -0.01%
% Change year +0.83% +1.15% +1.36% +1.54% +1.60%

They will definitely slip after today’s results are posted. Here is what the selling looked like in the S&P 500:
0319
I believe the market will snap back, but either way, we will continue to watch the charts and react to the action that is before us. We knew it was going to be a year of repeatedly bouncing off of overhead resistance so none of this should surprise us. The real test will be when the FED money is all gone. According to Ms. Yellen that will be this fall. As I have always said, that’s where the rubber will meet the road. Continue to pray that God will guide our hand, that has been and always will be the source of our success. May He continue to bless your trades!
God bless,
Scott8-)

 




  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…


  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…


  • 04/21/25

    Good Afternoon, The sky is falling right??? Well…..that all depends on your point of view. One thing we can all agree on though. This is a difficult market. It is not a pleasant market to trade. I’ve had more than a few comments and questions mostly off the record. It’s going down we’re losing money….…