03/20/14

Good Evening,

We got a small bounce today. Now let’s see if we can get some follow through…

 

Stocks recover from Fed freak out

 

Today’s action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 36/C, 42/S, 22/I. Our allocation is now -0.95% for the year. Here are the latest posted results: 

03/19/14
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.3593 16.0009 24.151 34.9679 25.1258
$ Change 0.0009 -0.0722 -0.1489 -0.2408 -0.2236
% Change day +0.01% -0.45% -0.61% -0.68% -0.88%
% Change week +0.03% -0.56% +1.07% +1.09% +0.39%
% Change month +0.12% -0.55% +0.18% +0.42% -3.00%
% Change year +0.51% +1.65% +1.16% +3.85% -1.72%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 16.9286 21.9579 23.6574 25.0694 14.1954
$ Change -0.0274 -0.0880 -0.1200 -0.1462 -0.0933
% Change day -0.16% -0.40% -0.50% -0.58% -0.65%
% Change week +0.17% +0.43% +0.55% +0.63% +0.71%
% Change month -0.06% -0.37% -0.48% -0.54% -0.66%
% Change year +0.67% +0.74% +0.85% +0.95% +0.94%

This market is like a yo-yo. A lot of movement but not really going anywhere. 
Here’s what the S&P 500 (C-Fund) looked like today: 
A slight gain on average volume. Note that the PMO still has a negative crossover of its 20 EMA. This must improve to get a solid buy signal. It would also be nice if we had some separation of the between the 20 and 5 EMA’s. All in all, the index is still in good shape. Not a lot of damage done during this latest dip. The I Fund took the worst hit of the TSP Funds, but that probably means that it has the most room to run if this upside can continue.
0320
Nothing new to add. The charts are bent but not broken. We’ll continue to watch them all with a wary eye toward the I-Fund. That’ all for tonight. Have a nice evening. Enjoy the NCAA March Madness!
Oh yeah and Go Cats!!
God bless,
Scott8-)

 




  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…


  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…


  • 04/21/25

    Good Afternoon, The sky is falling right??? Well…..that all depends on your point of view. One thing we can all agree on though. This is a difficult market. It is not a pleasant market to trade. I’ve had more than a few comments and questions mostly off the record. It’s going down we’re losing money….…