03/22/17

Good Evening, The market made a small recovery today and finished strong as traders snapped up stocks after yesterdays sell off. The main reason for the small bounce was some renewed optimism that congress will pass legislation to repeal and replace Obamacare. This optimism was buoyed slightly by a report that said that Donald Trump was indeed wiretapped. Sometimes the issues that drive the market are clear and sometimes not. This is an instance where the market driving issue is cut and dried. If the Obamacare repeal and replace legislation is passed in the house tomorrow there will be a rally, if not there will be a sell off. Where we go beyond that is pure speculation…..

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gained +0.12%. For comparison the Dow slipped -0.03%, the Nasdaq was up +0.48%, and the S&P 500 added +0.19%.

 

Choppy day on Wall Street; all eyes on Trump and healthcare

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested with 100% in the S Fund. Our allocation is now +2.10% no including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

03/21/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.2662 17.5596 32.4787 41.8559 26.2516
$ Change 0.0010 0.0385 -0.4049 -0.9644 -0.1618
% Change day +0.01% +0.22% -1.23% -2.25% -0.61%
% Change week +0.03% +0.39% -1.43% -2.73% -0.59%
% Change month +0.14% -0.30% -0.70% -2.45% +2.23%
% Change year +0.52% +0.64% +5.20% +2.10% +6.71%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 18.6792 25.0752 27.7578 29.7942 17.0368
$ Change -0.0410 -0.1190 -0.2068 -0.2635 -0.1738
% Change day -0.22% -0.47% -0.74% -0.88% -1.01%
% Change week -0.23% -0.52% -0.83% -0.99% -1.15%
% Change month +0.07% +0.02% -0.03% -0.07% -0.11%
% Change year +1.46% +2.44% +3.44% +3.92% +4.36%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund: Still looking good. We continue to watch this one as a place to move some capital to in the near future.
F Fund: An SCTR of 18.1 gives me little confidence here. Not to mention that fact that the EMA’s remain upside down (Short term on the bottom, Long Term on the top)

Everything is riding on the Obama care vote tomorrow. We’ll keep an eye on the charts and see how they vote. Keep praying that God will guide their hand! Have a nice evening and I’ll see you tomorrow.

God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 




  • 05/19/25

    Good Morning, Another day another challenge. This market is anything other than boring and I say that not necessarily in a good way! When it comes to the market I think boring is good. That means less volatility and that means less stress. Nonetheless, we have what we have and we must deal with it.…


  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…


  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…