03/23/18

Good Evening, Today the tariff issues continued and the selling continued with it. I believe that the market will get this thing figured out and continue higher, but there are not guarantees. There are a lot of things that have to unfold before we will really know what the full impact of a trade on the US. For instance, the EU and a handful of South American countries already have temporary exemptions from the Steel and Aluminum Tariffs. Will there be give and take with the new ones? How far will China go with regard to retaliation? Will they possibly stop buying American Bonds? There are many many questions yet to be answered and that creates uncertainty. And you’ve heard me say it before, the market hates uncertainty. I know I sound like a broken record but as in every case we simply need to take our ques from the charts. They will tell us what to do.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment give up -1.90%. Think that’s bad?? Then listen to this, the Dow dropped -1.77%, the Nasdaq -2.43%, and the S&P 500 -2.10%. It was another one of those days when there was not where to hide.

 

Wall Street nosedives as investors flee on trade war fears

The weeks action left us with the following signals: C-Sell, S-Neutral, I-Sell, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now -0.12% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

03/22/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.6313 17.7586 37.3505 48.8135 30.1653
$ Change 0.0013 0.0592 -0.9636 -1.1422 -0.4388
% Change day +0.01% +0.33% -2.52% -2.29% -1.43%
% Change week +0.05% +0.03% -3.92% -2.76% -2.32%
% Change month +0.17% +0.13% -2.47% +1.30% -1.92%
% Change year +0.58% -1.97% -0.69% +0.72% -2.24%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.5868 26.8852 30.6081 33.2782 19.2534
$ Change -0.0798 -0.1973 -0.4016 -0.5193 -0.3436
% Change day -0.41% -0.73% -1.30% -1.54% -1.75%
% Change week -0.62% -1.12% -1.99% -2.35% -2.67%
% Change month -0.21% -0.49% -0.97% -1.17% -1.33%
% Change year +0.19% -0.02% -0.42% -0.60% -0.74%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund: The C Fund generated an overall Sell signal when the SCTR moved below 40 with the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA and the PMO, MACD, and Wms%R all in negative configurations.
S Fund: The S Fund generated an overall neutral signal when the PMO, MACD, and Wms %R moved into negative configurations and the 5 EMA passed down though the 50 EMA.
I Fund: This ones still a sell.
F Fund: The F Fund continues to strengthen as investors seek the safety of bonds.

The S Fund is beginning to feel the stress but there’s no sell signal yet. Keep watching the charts and keep praying. Selloffs are never easy! That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades!

God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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