03/23/2015

Good Evening,

It was inevitable after a week like we had last week that there would be some profit taking and today that’s exactly what we got. It seems that the media had some concern about the fluctuation of the dollar. My question is was the motivation for the profit taking just to play it safe and lock in some profits or was it something more? I can’t really say, but what it does tell me is to make sure that I watch the charts closely. Then again, that’s standard operating procedure anytime there is some selling in our system. As usual, I’ll let the media speculate…. there’s a section below where you can read all about it!

Today’s selling left us with the following results: Our TSP allocation held up fairly well at +0.04% while AMP under-performed at -0.731%. For comparison the DOW slipped back -0.06%, the Nasdaq -0.31%, the S&P 500 -0.17%, AT&T added +0.15%, Alaska Air dropped -1.73%, Facebook was +0.75% and Apple +1.04%.

 

Wall St. slips after rally as dollar swings

 

 

The day’s action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 30/C, 34/S, 36/I. Our allocation is now +3.78% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:


03/20/15
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.6762 17.0579 27.9465 38.6747 26.0621
$ Change 0.0008 0.0368 0.2496 0.3155 0.5088
% Change day +0.01% +0.22% +0.90% +0.82% +1.99%
% Change week +0.04% +0.81% +2.67% +2.92% +4.03%
% Change month +0.10% +0.32% +0.28% +2.36% +0.35%
% Change year +0.41% +1.52% +2.88% +6.55% +7.61%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.6823 23.5297 25.6633 27.4191 15.6215
$ Change 0.0437 0.1466 0.2035 0.2470 0.1604
% Change day +0.25% +0.63% +0.80% +0.91% +1.04%
% Change week +0.68% +1.63% +2.08% +2.39% +2.70%
% Change month +0.22% +0.39% +0.50% +0.60% +0.66%
% Change year +1.33% +2.76% +3.46% +3.94% +4.43%


Let’s hit the charts!

 
C Fund: The C Fund remains in good shape generating an overall buy signal with the PMO moving into a positive configuration. Price remains squarely in the established ascending channel. All signals are annotated with green circles. 
 
1

S Fund: The S Fund remains on a buy signal with price in the upper range of the established ascending channel.

 
2

I Fund: The I fund generated a buy signal as the PMO moved to a positive configuration. All signals are annotated with green circles. Price is showing strength and remains close to the upper trend line of the ascending channel. All signals are annotated with green circles. 

 
3

F Fund: Price is steady and the F Fund remains on an overall buy signal. There is plenty of room for this fund to run is should stocks go south. However, there will be renewed concerns about bonds as we move closer to the next FED meeting.

4
The market was off today so we’ll keep a close eye on our charts. There was no technical damage done so we’ll chalk the current selling up to profit taking and consolidation. That’s all for tonight. May God continue to bless your trades. Have a great evening. God bless,

Scott8-)

 




  • 08/17/25

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  • 08/07/2024

    Good morning, I’ll keep this brief because I’m on the road again. This market is volatile! I don’t care what the so called experts say. I don’t care what the VIX is. I don’t care whether folks are making money or losing money. It is one of the most volatile and fluid markets I have…


  • *****Interfund Transfer******

    Good Day, It’s time to adjust our mix. The new mix is 100/S. Please remember that this is the percentage of money that we have invested in each fund, not the money that is taken from your check and deposited into thrift. Those future contributions should always be 100% G Fund. That automatically protects your deposit in the event that it…