04/08/19

Good Evening, The market continued to trade in it’s recent range as it awaits 1st quarter earnings results and news on the trade negotiations with China. While 2 out of the three major indices managed to move into the green in the afternoon gains were capped due to reports that earnings will contract for the first time in 2016. Investors were debating as to whether the projected earnings decrease has been priced in or not. My charts still indicate  that we’re moving higher. However the character of the market can always change and if that occurs we will be the first to know by watching our charts.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted it’s eighth consecutive gain at +0.10%. For comparison, the Dow lost -0.32%, the Nasdaq gained +0.19%, and the S&P 500 was up +0.10%. Praise God for our gains!

 

S&P 500, Nasdaq edge higher as earnings season looms

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +10.23% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

 

04/05/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.1048 18.6228 41.7117 52.2951 30.0002
$ Change 0.0011 0.0175 0.1929 0.4231 0.0323
% Change day +0.01% +0.09% +0.46% +0.82% +0.11%
% Change week +0.03% -0.29% +2.09% +2.52% +2.01%
% Change month +0.03% -0.29% +2.09% +2.52% +2.01%
% Change year +0.70% +2.65% +16.02% +18.91% +12.31%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 20.4062 28.1033 32.3999 35.3621 20.5186
$ Change 0.0185 0.0334 0.0787 0.1025 0.0679
% Change day +0.09% +0.12% +0.24% +0.29% +0.33%
% Change week +0.44% +0.61% +1.27% +1.51% +1.72%
% Change month +0.44% +0.61% +1.27% +1.51% +1.72%
% Change year +3.64% +4.89% +9.32% +11.05% +12.56%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund: The F Fund generated an overall neutral signal when the PMO moved into a negative configuration. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA  or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40. This is good news for stocks!
So far so good. Praise God we’re hanging on to what we’ve got and adding a little more!  That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and I’ll see you tomorrow.
God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 04/21/25

    Good Afternoon, The sky is falling right??? Well…..that all depends on your point of view. One thing we can all agree on though. This is a difficult market. It is not a pleasant market to trade. I’ve had more than a few comments and questions mostly off the record. It’s going down we’re losing money….…

  • 04/15/2024

    Good Day, You can read about anything you want to read about the current market. If you have a certain point of view you can find an article to assuage your feelings. It’s nice to feel good, but that kind of feel good doesn’t necessarily make you money. Just because you can find someone who…

  • 04/07/25

    Good Morning, I hate writing about things like this. Nobody really wants to hear it but it’s something that must be done. Are my message boards flooded? Oh yeah. You’ve got the combination of an unprecedented global event coupled with the fact that a lot of folks that are trading now never experienced a market…