Good Evening, The market wanted to get negative this week but was propped up by more positive earnings, good economic news out of the US and China, and reports that trade negotiations between China and the US continue to go well. Also giving the market a small boost today was the conclusion of the Mueller investigation.That said I don’t think that conflict between the Democrats and Republicans is over. There’s probably more gridlock ahead. But for our purposes here, the market seems at least a little relieved that the Mueller report has been released and that no collusion was found. I believe that the market is consolidating before the next leg up and I believe the catalyst for that move will be a trade agreement between the the US and China. Of course that’s only speculation and our investment decisions will be based entirely on our charts.
The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted at gain of +0.16%. For comparison, the Dow added +0.42%, the Nasdaq +0.02%, and the S&P 500 +0.16%. Thank God for another day in the green.
The weeks action (Remember the market is closed for Good Friday tomorrow) left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Neutral, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +10.60% for the year not including today’s results. Here are the latest posted results:
| 04/17/19 |
|
|
|
Prior Prices |
| Fund |
G Fund |
F Fund |
C Fund |
S Fund |
I Fund |
| Price |
16.1181 |
18.5825 |
41.8493 |
52.0369 |
30.3122 |
| $ Change |
0.0011 |
0.0047 |
-0.0917 |
-0.5014 |
0.0383 |
| % Change day |
+0.01% |
+0.03% |
-0.22% |
-0.95% |
+0.13% |
| % Change week |
+0.03% |
-0.10% |
-0.23% |
-1.13% |
+0.74% |
| % Change month |
+0.12% |
-0.51% |
+2.42% |
+2.02% |
+3.07% |
| % Change year |
+0.79% |
+2.42% |
+16.40% |
+18.33% |
+13.47% |
| |
L INC |
L 2020 |
L 2030 |
L 2040 |
L 2050 |
| Price |
20.4359 |
28.1518 |
32.4936 |
35.4777 |
20.5921 |
| $ Change |
-0.0069 |
-0.0138 |
-0.0384 |
-0.0520 |
-0.0358 |
| % Change day |
-0.03% |
-0.05% |
-0.12% |
-0.15% |
-0.17% |
| % Change week |
+0.02% |
+0.01% |
-0.01% |
-0.02% |
-0.03% |
| % Change month |
+0.59% |
+0.79% |
+1.56% |
+1.84% |
+2.09% |
| % Change year |
+3.79% |
+5.07% |
+9.64% |
+11.42% |
+12.96% |
Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund: The S Fund generated and overall Neutral signal today when the PMO and MACD moved into negative configurations. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
I Fund:
F Fund:
Our allocation is hanging in there. Expect more of the same until we get a new catalyst. That’s all for this week. Take a little time this weekend to reflect on the sacrifice that our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ made for us on the cross at Calvary. His life for ours! If you don’t already know Him take the a little time to get to know Him. I promise you from personal experience that He is a game changer! He came to give you everlasting life! He came to give you life abundant! A life more abundant than all the stuff you can accumulate in this world. By the matter of fact the silver and gold that we covet so much in this world will be used for paving materials in Heaven! You can have all this and more. John 3:16 tells us that God so loved that World that gave his only begotten Son, that whoever believes on Him shall have everlasting life. So how do you do this? Romans 10:9-10 says That if you confess with your mouth, “Jesus is Lord”, and believe in your heart that God raised Him from the dead, you will be saved. For it is with your heart that you believe and are justified and it is with you mouth that you confess and are saved. So what has this got to do with investing? I tell you that this is the most important investment you will ever make. All the others pale in comparison to this. Have a great weekend and I’ll see you on Monday!
God bless, Scott 
***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future.
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at [email protected].
