04/03/17

Good Evening, The market continued today with it’s recent pattern of weakness in the morning and strength in the afternoon. Buying the dip has been almost a sure way to make money in recent weeks. The focus this week on trading is all about jobs. The market is keying off of Fridays job report as it relates to Interest rate increases and what the Fed has to say about interest rate increases. Anything else is a sidebar.  So I guess you could really say it’s all about interest rate increases in 2017. Right now the Fed is predicting two more…….

Today’s trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment slipped -0.14%. The Dow was off -0.06%, the Nasdaq -0.29%, and the S&P 500 -0.16%.

 

Wall Street Kicks Off Second Quarter on Wrong Foot as Financials Lag

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C- Neutral, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/I. Our allocation is now +2.61% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

03/31/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.2761 17.6102 32.7472 42.8703 26.4109
$ Change 0.0009 0.0215 -0.0740 0.0706 -0.1258
% Change day +0.01% +0.12% -0.23% +0.16% -0.47%
% Change week +0.05% +0.07% +0.82% +1.96% +0.05%
% Change month +0.20% -0.01% +0.12% -0.08% +2.85%
% Change year +0.59% +0.93% +6.07% +4.57% +7.35%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 18.7281 25.1904 27.9439 30.0274 17.1881
$ Change -0.0070 -0.0224 -0.0394 -0.0495 -0.0322
% Change day -0.04% -0.09% -0.14% -0.16% -0.19%
% Change week +0.19% +0.34% +0.50% +0.58% +0.67%
% Change month +0.33% +0.48% +0.64% +0.71% +0.78%
% Change year +1.73% +2.91% +4.13% +4.73% +5.28%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund: Off again today but still within it’s ascending channel. The SCTR turned back up.
F Fund: The F Fund continues to defy all odds as price slowly moves up it’s wide ascending channel. That’s nice, but I still won’t buy it or recommend it until the SCTR moves off it’s anemic SCTR of 14.4. That tells me this uptrend is on shaky ground….
The second quarter got off to a slightly negative start. We’ll see how we do tomorrow. The market is likely to keep drifting ahead of Fridays all important jobs report. Have a nice evening!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 09/15/25

    Good Morning, When we went into September invested at 100/S many folks said we’d get knocked out. Well, guess what? We’re still standing. There were many including some in our group that basically said “you messed up this time, no sir not me, I’m not doing that. September is always the worst month for the…

  • 09/08/25

    Good Morning, The train left the station after Fridays jobs report. That may have well been the bottom of the current dip. It is now highly likely that the Fed will reduce rates on Sept 17th. More on that later. Right now lets focus on our trains next stop which will be Wednesdays Producer Price…

  • 09/01/25

    Good Afternoon, Happy Labor Day! I hope this note finds you enjoying some fine cuisine fresh off the grill! Well here we are starting a new month. The dreaded month of September. The weakest month for the stock market since the 20’s and here we are 100% invested in equities. What gives? First of all…