04/03/17

Good Evening, The market continued today with it’s recent pattern of weakness in the morning and strength in the afternoon. Buying the dip has been almost a sure way to make money in recent weeks. The focus this week on trading is all about jobs. The market is keying off of Fridays job report as it relates to Interest rate increases and what the Fed has to say about interest rate increases. Anything else is a sidebar.  So I guess you could really say it’s all about interest rate increases in 2017. Right now the Fed is predicting two more…….

Today’s trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment slipped -0.14%. The Dow was off -0.06%, the Nasdaq -0.29%, and the S&P 500 -0.16%.

 

Wall Street Kicks Off Second Quarter on Wrong Foot as Financials Lag

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C- Neutral, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/I. Our allocation is now +2.61% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

03/31/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.2761 17.6102 32.7472 42.8703 26.4109
$ Change 0.0009 0.0215 -0.0740 0.0706 -0.1258
% Change day +0.01% +0.12% -0.23% +0.16% -0.47%
% Change week +0.05% +0.07% +0.82% +1.96% +0.05%
% Change month +0.20% -0.01% +0.12% -0.08% +2.85%
% Change year +0.59% +0.93% +6.07% +4.57% +7.35%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 18.7281 25.1904 27.9439 30.0274 17.1881
$ Change -0.0070 -0.0224 -0.0394 -0.0495 -0.0322
% Change day -0.04% -0.09% -0.14% -0.16% -0.19%
% Change week +0.19% +0.34% +0.50% +0.58% +0.67%
% Change month +0.33% +0.48% +0.64% +0.71% +0.78%
% Change year +1.73% +2.91% +4.13% +4.73% +5.28%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund: Off again today but still within it’s ascending channel. The SCTR turned back up.
F Fund: The F Fund continues to defy all odds as price slowly moves up it’s wide ascending channel. That’s nice, but I still won’t buy it or recommend it until the SCTR moves off it’s anemic SCTR of 14.4. That tells me this uptrend is on shaky ground….
The second quarter got off to a slightly negative start. We’ll see how we do tomorrow. The market is likely to keep drifting ahead of Fridays all important jobs report. Have a nice evening!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 




  • 05/19/25

    Good Morning, Another day another challenge. This market is anything other than boring and I say that not necessarily in a good way! When it comes to the market I think boring is good. That means less volatility and that means less stress. Nonetheless, we have what we have and we must deal with it.…


  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…


  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…