04/06/18

Good Evening, President Trump stated that he was prepared to add an additional 100 Billion to US Tariffs on Chinese goods and Jerome Powell stated that the Fed was prepared to increase interest rates multiple times to control inflation. The two statements combined where more than the bull market could handle resulting in a deep sell off on the last trading day before the weekend. However, for the most part it’s about a potential trade war with China.

The days selling left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment fell -1.91%. For comparison, the Dow sold off -2.34%, the Nasdaq -2.28%, and the S&P 500 -2.19%. It was another reversal in a month of reversals.

 

Wall Street ends down 2 percent as U.S.-China trade fears intensify

The weeks action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now -0.07% for the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results.

 

04/05/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.6484 17.7927 37.6391 48.8388 30.553
$ Change 0.0012 -0.0266 0.2615 0.3629 0.1890
% Change day +0.01% -0.15% +0.70% +0.75% +0.62%
% Change week +0.04% -0.33% +0.86% +0.66% +0.10%
% Change month +0.04% -0.33% +0.86% +0.66% +0.10%
% Change year +0.69% -1.78% +0.08% +0.77% -0.98%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.6384 26.9748 30.7752 33.4856 19.3853
$ Change 0.0264 0.0606 0.1258 0.1623 0.1072
% Change day +0.13% +0.23% +0.41% +0.49% +0.56%
% Change week +0.13% +0.17% +0.35% +0.41% +0.47%
% Change month +0.13% +0.17% +0.35% +0.41% +0.47%
% Change year +0.45% +0.31% +0.13% +0.02% -0.06%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:

S Fund:

 

I Fund:

 

F Fund:

Monday we need to keep an eye on China’s reaction to new US trade sanctions. My bet is this game of chicken will result in additional selling before this dispute is settled. There will be a six month period before the first sanctions take effect. My hope and prayer is that there will be a new trade agreement with China before that happens. Have a nice weekend and may God continue to bless your trades!

God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

2 responses to “04/06/18”
  1. Martin Garcia Avatar
    Martin Garcia

    Presently have Invested in TSP 50% – C Fund, 25% – S Fund and 25% I Fund, have lost quote a bit of money since Jan 18, when should I change my Investment Allocation? Thanks, Martin J. Garcia

    1. Scott Grimes Avatar
      Scott Grimes

      Sorry Martin, This flew under the radar. We have that problem fixed now! Please feel free to comment here anytime. God bless and have a great day!

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