Good Evening, President Trump stated that he was prepared to add an additional 100 Billion to US Tariffs on Chinese goods and Jerome Powell stated that the Fed was prepared to increase interest rates multiple times to control inflation. The two statements combined where more than the bull market could handle resulting in a deep sell off on the last trading day before the weekend. However, for the most part it’s about a potential trade war with China.
The days selling left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment fell -1.91%. For comparison, the Dow sold off -2.34%, the Nasdaq -2.28%, and the S&P 500 -2.19%. It was another reversal in a month of reversals.
The weeks action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now -0.07% for the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results.
| 04/05/18 | Prior Prices | ||||
| Fund | G Fund | F Fund | C Fund | S Fund | I Fund |
| Price | 15.6484 | 17.7927 | 37.6391 | 48.8388 | 30.553 |
| $ Change | 0.0012 | -0.0266 | 0.2615 | 0.3629 | 0.1890 |
| % Change day | +0.01% | -0.15% | +0.70% | +0.75% | +0.62% |
| % Change week | +0.04% | -0.33% | +0.86% | +0.66% | +0.10% |
| % Change month | +0.04% | -0.33% | +0.86% | +0.66% | +0.10% |
| % Change year | +0.69% | -1.78% | +0.08% | +0.77% | -0.98% |
| L INC | L 2020 | L 2030 | L 2040 | L 2050 | |
| Price | 19.6384 | 26.9748 | 30.7752 | 33.4856 | 19.3853 |
| $ Change | 0.0264 | 0.0606 | 0.1258 | 0.1623 | 0.1072 |
| % Change day | +0.13% | +0.23% | +0.41% | +0.49% | +0.56% |
| % Change week | +0.13% | +0.17% | +0.35% | +0.41% | +0.47% |
| % Change month | +0.13% | +0.17% | +0.35% | +0.41% | +0.47% |
| % Change year | +0.45% | +0.31% | +0.13% | +0.02% | -0.06% |
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
Monday we need to keep an eye on China’s reaction to new US trade sanctions. My bet is this game of chicken will result in additional selling before this dispute is settled. There will be a six month period before the first sanctions take effect. My hope and prayer is that there will be a new trade agreement with China before that happens. Have a nice weekend and may God continue to bless your trades!
2 responses to “04/06/18”
Presently have Invested in TSP 50% – C Fund, 25% – S Fund and 25% I Fund, have lost quote a bit of money since Jan 18, when should I change my Investment Allocation? Thanks, Martin J. Garcia
Sorry Martin, This flew under the radar. We have that problem fixed now! Please feel free to comment here anytime. God bless and have a great day!