04/08/14

Good Evening,

The market came though with a moderate bounce today. Things have been so crazy that I’m not even going to speculate on what comes next.

 

Modest move up for stocks as tech rebounds

 

 

The days trading left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Buy, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 38/C, 42/S, 22/I. Our allocation is now -2.34% on the year not including today’s results. Here are the latest posted results:
 
04/07/14 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.3764 16.1157 23.9646 33.5732 25.7643
$ Change 0.0028 0.0295 -0.2604 -0.5744 -0.0643
% Change day +0.02% +0.18% -1.07% -1.68% -0.25%
% Change week +0.02% +0.18% -1.07% -1.68% -0.25%
% Change month +0.05% +0.31% -1.43% -2.92% +0.03%
% Change year +0.63% +2.38% +0.37% -0.29% +0.78%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 16.9374 21.9456 23.6126 24.9881 14.1447
$ Change -0.0279 -0.1013 -0.1447 -0.1820 -0.1163
% Change day -0.16% -0.46% -0.61% -0.72% -0.82%
% Change week -0.16% -0.46% -0.61% -0.72% -0.82%
% Change month -0.20% -0.59% -0.81% -0.98% -1.11%
% Change year +0.72% +0.69% +0.65% +0.62% +0.58%
The S Fund led the pack today at +0.78%, but that’s only about half of what it dropped yesterday. It has a ways to go to repair recent damage. Here’s what the C Fund looked like today: The C Fund moved back over it’s 50 EMA after being stopped at lower resistance that has been established in the 1840 Range. Should the price drop below that resistance the next target would be at about 1740 which is the low water mark of the January sell off. Also the past two days action tested but did not break through the lower trading range of the ascending wedge. Price has room to move back up and will not encounter upper resistance until close to 1900. Of course these patterns usually resolve by dropping. We will see. Also worth noting is a possible head and shoulders pattern being formed with the left shoulder in early March and the head in the past few days. Of course a head and shoulders pattern is a bearish pattern. That one is weak, but worth mentioning to show you how to look for new patterns developing on the charts. We’ll keep an eye on it in the coming weeks. Volume was again average and the PMO remains below it’s 50 DMA. I have rated this chart at neutral for that reason.
0408
That’s all for tonight. We’ll take whatever the market throws at us and keep working with it. Have a nice evening.
God bless,
Scott 8-)

 




  • 04/29/2024

    Good Morning, One more trading day and this month is over. My how time is flying. The big question at least for our newer members is “Are we getting back in this week?” As with most market questions that is a loaded question. There is much much more to it than the fact that the…


  • 04/22/2024

    Good Morning, I decided to go ahead and get this blog out of the way because there is so much turmoil in the market this morning. Wow, what a week it was. It seems like a month passed by. It was just a little over a week ago when the market was flying high and…


  • 04/15/2024

    Good Evening, Wow, where do I start tonight? First let me talk briefly about last Thursday’s interfund transfer. We issued the transfer alert at 11:00 AM  that day and there were several folks that didn’t see it in time to make the trade before the TSP deadline of 12:00PM. Given the next days drop their…