04/13/16

Good Evening, Good news out of China spurred the current rally on even though oil was off and earnings so far have been less than spectacular.  The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gained +1.00%. For comparison the Dow rose +1.06%, the Nasdaq +1.55%, and the S&P 500 +1.00%. Here’s the news:

 

Indexes gain at least 1 percent as financial shares lead

 

The days trading left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +3.32% on the year not including todays gains. Here are the latest posted results:

04/12/16 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.9966 17.5134 27.9865 34.8771 23.5129
$ Change 0.0007 -0.0365 0.2689 0.3268 0.3271
% Change day +0.00% -0.21% +0.97% +0.95% +1.41%
% Change week +0.02% -0.24% +0.69% +0.65% +1.34%
% Change month +0.06% +0.16% +0.16% -0.32% -0.18%
% Change year +0.54% +3.29% +1.54% -1.02% -2.42%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.8924 23.3255 25.1655 26.6538 15.0488
$ Change 0.0376 0.1138 0.1727 0.2129 0.1369
% Change day +0.21% +0.49% +0.69% +0.81% +0.92%
% Change week +0.18% +0.40% +0.55% +0.64% +0.73%
% Change month +0.05% +0.03% +0.02% +0.01% +0.00%
% Change year +0.67% +0.50% +0.41% +0.31% +0.15%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.

C Fund: Price broke through resistance at a littler over 206. The C Fund still has the best SCTR of any of our equity based funds at 73.6.

C Fund

 

S Fund: The S Fund moved back to neutral as the PMO whipsawed back up though it’s EMA. Price continues to climb up the established rising channel.  The SCTR is rising at 52.3 but still has some work to do to catch the C Fund.

S Fund

 

I Fund: The I Fund generated a neutral signal as the PMO and MACD both moved into positive configurations. It is the worst of our equity based funds with and SCTR of only 25.8.

I Fund

 

F Fund: The F Fund continues to hang in there. However, with the PMO falling rapidly to 44.7, it may not be for long.

F Fund

 

Our task is to monitor our charts during this rally and ensure that our money is allocated to the strongest fund and of course, as usual to make sure the trend does not reverse. That’s all for now. Have a nice evening!

God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




  • 05/19/25

    Good Morning, Another day another challenge. This market is anything other than boring and I say that not necessarily in a good way! When it comes to the market I think boring is good. That means less volatility and that means less stress. Nonetheless, we have what we have and we must deal with it.…


  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…


  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…