04/18/16

Good Evening, The market gapped down this morning after a meeting of oil producers in Doha Saudi Arabia failed to produce an agreement to freeze or cut the production of crude. However, in keeping with recent tradition, any move down is an invitation for the dip buyers to step in who drove us up throughout the rest of the day.  After all, why should they stop doing what is working so well until it stops working. It may not seem rational to all the intellectuals with multiple finance related degrees that are thinking themselves out of being invested, but the answer is really quite simple. You can’t ignore the pricing action. If you do so, you do so at your own expense. That old adage “The Trend is your friend” was never more true than it is today.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gained +0.65%. For comparison, the Dow added +0.60%, the Nasdaq +0.44%, and the S&P 500 +0.65%. We did well again today and I thank God for that. Here’s the news:

 

Disney Drives Wall Street to Highest Close of 2016

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allotment is now +4.98% on the year. Here are the latest posted results:

04/18/16 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.0008 17.5451 28.4368 35.7377 24.1196
$ Change 0.0021 -0.0125 0.1852 0.1899 0.0786
% Change day +0.01% -0.07% +0.66% +0.53% +0.33%
% Change week +0.01% -0.07% +0.66% +0.53% +0.33%
% Change month +0.08% +0.34% +1.78% +2.14% +2.39%
% Change year +0.57% +3.48% +3.17% +1.43% +0.10%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.9706 23.5466 25.4977 27.0626 15.3104
$ Change 0.0206 0.0583 0.0874 0.1072 0.0686
% Change day +0.11% +0.25% +0.34% +0.40% +0.45%
% Change week +0.11% +0.25% +0.34% +0.40% +0.45%
% Change month +0.49% +0.98% +1.34% +1.54% +1.74%
% Change year +1.11% +1.46% +1.73% +1.85% +1.89%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.

 

C Fund:

C Fund

 

S Fund:

S Fund

 

I Fund:

I Fund

 

F Fund:

F Fund

 

Some nights I prefer to let the charts do most of their own talking. Right now we’re in great shape. The C Fund is performing well and with an SCTR of 77.3 it is currently the best of the TSP equity based funds. Our task is unchanged. It remains to monitor our charts for any change in the current trend. Otherwise, enjoy the ride. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening!

God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




  • ******Interfund Transfer*******

    Good Day, It’s time to adjust our mix. The new mix is 100/C. Please remember that this is the percentage of money that we have invested in each fund, not the money that is taken from your check and deposited into thrift. Those future contributions should always be 100% G Fund. That automatically protects your…


  • 11/03/25

    Good Morning, It seems that it’s an odd thing to say, but we exit the month of October as a successful month which is not always the case as it is historically one of the worst months for the market. So now we enter the month of November which is historically one of the best…


  • 10/27/2025

    Good Morning, Wow! What a week. What a week. What a week!! It’s setting up to be the perfect storm! Let me explain. It all started with Fridays CPI report which came in softer than expected. The consumer price index showed a 0.3% increase on the month, putting the annual inflation rate at 3%. Economists surveyed by…