04/21/2015

Good Evening,

Today was a flat day after a nice run yesterday. The media was blaming the strength of the dollar effecting earnings. The market was up slightly, but I noticed that the the Dow and S&P went negative on the day when a report came out that an individual in the United Kingdom had been arrested in a 31 count indictment for manipulating the market through high frequency trading that led to the flash crash….. Hmmm….. Maybe they’re starting to get tired of the way the machines are pushing this market around. It will be interesting to see what comes of this. The day really felt like healthy consolidation which is perceived by many folks as a negative thing given how they have become so accustomed to the market just going up. Trying to call a top has been a costly endeavor for some time so it is best to wait until the market gives you a reason to get out before you do and your charts will let you know when that time has come. Until then you must remain disciplined and stay the course!

Today’s action left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment out performed at +0.565%. For comparison the Dow dropped -0.47%, the Nasdaq gained +0.39%, and the S&P 500 lost -0.15%. Praise God for another good day!


The day’s action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Neutral, I-Buy, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 05/C, 32/S, 63/I. Our allotment is now +3.94% on the year not including today’s gains. Here are the latest posted results:
04/20/15
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.6995 17.1349 27.8797 38.612 26.3185
$ Change 0.0022 -0.0339 0.2555 0.3025 0.0417
% Change day +0.01% -0.20% +0.92% +0.79% +0.16%
% Change week +0.01% -0.20% +0.92% +0.79% +0.16%
% Change month +0.10% +0.30% +1.65% +0.94% +2.81%
% Change year +0.57% +1.98% +2.63% +6.38% +8.67%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.7121 23.5703 25.7068 27.4622 15.6469
$ Change 0.0250 0.0782 0.1105 0.1372 0.0875
% Change day +0.14% +0.33% +0.43% +0.50% +0.56%
% Change week +0.14% +0.33% +0.43% +0.50% +0.56%
% Change month +0.46% +1.01% +1.26% +1.41% +1.59%
% Change year +1.50% +2.93% +3.63% +4.11% +4.60%
Now let’s take a look at the charts:
C Fund: Price dropped slightly, but not enough to change any indicators. This chart remains a buy with all four of our indicators in a positive configuration. All signals are annotated with Fluorescent Green Circles. We used the SPY today so we could take a look at the SCTR. The farther above 40 that it is, the stronger that it is. It is currently 67.4.
C Fund
S Fund:  Price managed a slight gain, but it was not enough to alter any of our indicators. This chart remains on a Neutral signal with the PMO and MAC D in negative configurations.
S Fund
I Fund: Recently, we mentioned that the I Fund would have its day and that day was today as price had a strong gain of +0.89% closing right on upper resistance at 66.63. The overall buy signal strengthened as the price gain was enough to move the MAC D back into positive territory. The signal is annotated with a fluorescent green circle. As you can see, our analysis and 63% allocation to this fund are warranted with the SCTR improving noticeably since February. The SCTR is very helpful when deciding how much money to allocate to a particular fund.
I Fund
F Fund:  Price continues to consolidate just under resistance at 111.83. Although this chart is still on an overall buy signal, it is starting to show signs of weakness with a negative PMO and an SCTR of 33.4.
F Fund
Thank God for another good day! Eventually, this market will decide where it is going to go. Our job is to monitor our charts and ride the trend as long as we can. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening!
 God bless,
Scott8-)
***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.



  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…


  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…


  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…