04/23/18

Good Evening, Most of the market ended in the red today as tech stocks and bond yields took center stage for investors. These issues where also highlighted by the media. However, it was Apple (AAPL) that pulled the rest of the market down. Apple has one of the largest market caps and is a core holding in almost everyone’s portfolio. It is over weight in most indexes and no one intends to sell it. So why is it tanking? As we mentioned in a recent blog, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (2330.TW), cut its full-year revenue target due to softer demand for smartphones. That caused Apple and the myriad of companies that it deals with to sell off and ultimately the entire market albeit to a lessor degree than the tech sector. While I find this to be a short term aggravation, I don’t find it to be a long term impediment. There are other companies than just Apple and majority of them are and will continue beat earnings estimates on both the top and bottom lines. As far as treasury yields go, I’ve heard about all I care to hear about the psychological level of 3%. Give me a break. The yields are still at historic lows. After all, they were at 3% in what, 2014? We made money then. I really don’t think 3% treasury yields will make the market suddenly fall apart. But I have been wrong before and that’s why I watch the charts. They are never wrong……

The days trading left us with the following result: Our TSP allotment slipped -0.10%. For comparison, the Dow was off -0.06%, the Nasdaq -0.25%, and the S&P was slightly in the green at +0.01%.

 

Wall Street edges lower as tech stocks, bond yields weigh

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +1.09% on the year not including the days results. We’re still in the green for now and I praise God for that! It’s a hard year to make money, but we did anticipated that if would be.  Here are the latest posted results:

 

04/20/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.6661 17.7034 37.7696 49.4048 31.1788
$ Change 0.0012 -0.0356 -0.3233 -0.2884 -0.2000
% Change day +0.01% -0.20% -0.85% -0.58% -0.64%
% Change week +0.05% -0.62% +0.54% +1.16% +0.52%
% Change month +0.15% -0.83% +1.21% +1.83% +2.15%
% Change year +0.81% -2.27% +0.42% +1.94% +1.05%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.6878 27.0741 30.9625 33.7236 19.542
$ Change -0.0307 -0.0700 -0.1440 -0.1857 -0.1217
% Change day -0.16% -0.26% -0.46% -0.55% -0.62%
% Change week +0.13% +0.21% +0.36% +0.43% +0.50%
% Change month +0.38% +0.54% +0.96% +1.13% +1.28%
% Change year +0.70% +0.68% +0.74% +0.73% +0.75%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund: It should be obvious by now that bonds are not the best place to be when the yield curve is rising.
The slow season is on the way but I still expect us to get a little boost moving into May. Don’t forget to keep praying for our group. God has blessed us through the years and continues to do so. That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades.
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




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