04/25/14

Good Evening,

Oh yeah, it was good to be a bear today. The charts called this one and for what seems like a rare occasion in 2014, we were in the right place…

 

Stocks end week in red as tech gets hammered

 

 

The week’s trading left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Neutral, I-Buy, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 08/G, 92/F. Our allocation is now -3.85% on the year, not including today’s results. Here are the latest posted results:
04/25/14
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.3934 16.1888 24.2232 33.5103 25.9018
$ Change 0.0009 0.0163 -0.1974 -0.5470 -0.0862
% Change day +0.01% +0.10% -0.81% -1.61% -0.33%
% Change week +0.05% +0.38% -0.06% -0.83% +0.42%
% Change month +0.16% +0.77% -0.36% -3.10% +0.56%
% Change year +0.74% +2.84% +1.46% -0.48% +1.32%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 16.9837 22.0453 23.736 25.1273 14.2292
$ Change -0.0257 -0.0898 -0.1280 -0.1611 -0.1028
% Change day -0.72% -0.15% -0.41% -0.54% -0.64%
% Change week -0.05% +0.05% +0.02% -0.01% -0.04%
% Change month -0.52% +0.07% -0.14% -0.29% -0.43%
% Change year +1.18% +0.99% +1.15% +1.18% +1.18%
This week’s top is lower than the one earlier in the month. Now we need to see a lower low to declare a declining trend. The PMO has topped and the rising trend line drawn from the February low defines the bottom of a rising wedge pattern, a pattern we normally expect to resolve downward.
As I said yesterday, upper resistance has been tested and now we are on the way back down. Lower resistance for the C Fund is at 1860. If that is broken, then you can be pretty sure that we have a real correction on our hands. I expect this resistance level to be breached in May. For now, I am very comfortable with our allocation. If we can get a real correction we should be able to make some decent money on the way back up. That’s all for this week. Have a nice weekend!
God bless,
Scott8-)

 




  • 09/15/25

    Good Morning, When we went into September invested at 100/S many folks said we’d get knocked out. Well, guess what? We’re still standing. There were many including some in our group that basically said “you messed up this time, no sir not me, I’m not doing that. September is always the worst month for the…


  • 09/08/25

    Good Morning, The train left the station after Fridays jobs report. That may have well been the bottom of the current dip. It is now highly likely that the Fed will reduce rates on Sept 17th. More on that later. Right now lets focus on our trains next stop which will be Wednesdays Producer Price…


  • 09/01/25

    Good Afternoon, Happy Labor Day! I hope this note finds you enjoying some fine cuisine fresh off the grill! Well here we are starting a new month. The dreaded month of September. The weakest month for the stock market since the 20’s and here we are 100% invested in equities. What gives? First of all…