05/14/19

Good Evening, My what a difference a day makes or should I say a tweet. Today the President tweeted that the US and China are involved in a minor squabble and that they are still talking. Yesterday the tweet was basically China, you should have taken a deal while you had it, you done messed up now! You all know the results. Was it the worst day in 2019? It sure felt like it if it wasn’t. I thank God for guiding us to the safety of the F Fund. So today the market moved higher but gave up some ground before the final bell. Should we jump back in?? I’m not ready just yet. I haven’t really seen a notable change one way or the other and the VIX is still a little high at 18.06. I’d really like to see it fall at least to 16 before I jump back in. I’d also like to see a buy signal in the fund that I move to. I have neither of those things at this time so I think I’m just going to sit back and watch. The conditions remind me a bit of last September which is still fresh on my mind. It;s hard to forget that downturn. We have a decent profit now and I fully intend to keep it. Remember, It’s not what you make. It’s what you keep that counts!

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a gain of +0.08%. For comparison, the Dow added +0.82%, the Nasdaq +1.14%, and the S&P 500 +0.80%.

 

Stocks bounce back as trade rhetoric cools

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/F. Our allocation is now +10.21% on the year. Here are the latest posted results: For those wondering about the F Fund showing a drop. Be aware that TSP uses the price of the F Fund when they close out their books for the day. Any discrepancies usually even out in a day or so….

 

05/14/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.148 18.7626 40.9502 51.1996 29.268
$ Change 0.0011 -0.0075 0.3309 0.6537 0.2135
% Change day +0.01% -0.04% +0.81% +1.29% +0.73%
% Change week +0.03% +0.19% -1.62% -1.81% -0.69%
% Change month +0.10% +0.43% -3.68% -3.20% -3.31%
% Change year +0.97% +3.42% +13.90% +16.42% +9.56%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 20.3679 28.0028 32.042 34.8756 20.1877
$ Change 0.0357 0.0661 0.1621 0.2115 0.1403
% Change day +0.18% +0.24% +0.51% +0.61% +0.70%
% Change week -0.24% -0.34% -0.77% -0.93% -1.07%
% Change month -0.63% -0.89% -2.04% -2.45% -2.80%
% Change year +3.44% +4.51% +8.12% +9.53% +10.74%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
It’s a volatile market. Will it continue up tomorrow? Will we have yet another V shaped recovery? It may do one or both of those things. Only time and the charts will tell. As for today, I just don’t have a lot of confidence in it. I’m going to have to see better charts before I do. But as we’ve seen in the last two days….a day can make a big difference. That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades.
God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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