05/16/18

Good Evening, The market was up as trade fears subsided for the moment. One particular thing that I noticed over the past several days is that small caps are leading the action. They are significantly out performing large caps as evident by the fact that the Russell 2000 small cap index is at an all time high while the S&P 500 and the Dow are still well off theirs. Our analysis told us that would be the case several months ago. You can check out previous blogs for our rational as I’m not going to rehash that here. This is a good example of why you do your homework and do it early! Once you have finished you stick with your plan as long as the charts will let you. In our case we had several days that the C Fund out performed the S Fund. While it was tempting to make a switch those that did not are now being rewarded for their discipline….

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment had a nice day posting a gain of +0.75%. For comparison, The Dow added +0.25%, the Nasdaq +0.63%, and the S&P 500 +0.41%. Praise the Lord for blessing our group once again!

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +2,87% on the year not including the days gains. Here are the latest posted results:

 

05/15/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.6963 17.6124 38.4002 50.2731 31.3282
$ Change 0.0012 -0.0843 -0.2630 -0.0966 -0.2678
% Change day +0.01% -0.48% -0.68% -0.19% -0.85%
% Change week +0.03% -0.53% -0.59% -0.45% -0.49%
% Change month +0.12% -0.62% +2.51% +3.33% +0.62%
% Change year +1.00% -2.77% +2.10% +3.73% +1.53%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.763 27.2187 31.2237 34.0509 19.7546
$ Change -0.0308 -0.0674 -0.1343 -0.1718 -0.1114
% Change day -0.16% -0.25% -0.43% -0.50% -0.56%
% Change week -0.12% -0.20% -0.35% -0.42% -0.47%
% Change month +0.46% +0.72% +1.25% +1.48% +1.69%
% Change year +1.09% +1.22% +1.59% +1.71% +1.85%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
Man the charts and full speed ahead. One word of caution. As hot as small caps are they are bound to consolidate/ correct at some point. Don’t panic when that happens. Remember Panic is not a strategy! So keep your eyes on your charts and on The Lord. Have a great evening and I’ll see you tomorrow!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 




  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…


  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…


  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…