05/17/18

Good Evening, The market was working on a nice day until the beginning of the afternoon session when it gave up it’s gains for the day and headed into the red where it remained until the closing bell. The turning point was a news conference with President Trump (The 1st of the dreaded three T’s) in which he was candid about the ongoing trade negotiations with China. He simply stated that China was spoiled in it’s trade with the US, that it was currently being enriched at the expense of the US which would have to change, and that as a result he wasn’t optimistic that a trade agreement would be reached this week. Although he did add on caveat which was that he thought a agreement could eventually be reached and that it would be one that both he and President Xi of China would be happy with. He also said that China could be influencing North Korean leader Kim Jung Ill and that was possibly the reason that North Korea had been making negative comments about a future meeting between the two. Of course the market liked none of this because of the uncertainty that it presents. One bright spot was the continued out performance of small cap stocks. Through the kind providence of God we are currently invested in the S Fund which gives us the most small cap exposure that we can get in TSP. I wish the Thrift board would approve a fund that would allow us to invest directly in the Russell 2000 during times like these….

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allocation out performed again with a nice gain of +0.30%. For comparison, the Dow lost -0.22%, the Nasdaq -0.21%, and the S&P 500 -0.09%. Praise God for blessing our group once again!

 

Wall St. ends down slightly on trade, oil price concerns

The days action left us with the following signals: C-buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Sell. Again, we are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +3.62% on the year not including the day’s results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

05/16/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.6975 17.6017 38.5669 50.6393 31.2256
$ Change 0.0012 -0.0107 0.1667 0.3662 -0.1026
% Change day +0.01% -0.06% +0.43% +0.73% -0.33%
% Change week +0.04% -0.60% -0.16% +0.27% -0.81%
% Change month +0.13% -0.68% +2.95% +4.08% +0.29%
% Change year +1.01% -2.83% +2.54% +4.48% +1.20%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.7732 27.2415 31.271 34.1125 19.7957
$ Change 0.0102 0.0228 0.0473 0.0616 0.0411
% Change day +0.05% +0.08% +0.15% +0.18% +0.21%
% Change week -0.07% -0.11% -0.20% -0.24% -0.26%
% Change month +0.51% +0.81% +1.41% +1.66% +1.90%
% Change year +1.14% +1.31% +1.74% +1.89% +2.06%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
Things are going well now. At this time our task is to continue to monitor the charts to make sure nothing changes. That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and I’ll see you tomorrow.
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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