05/21/18

Good Evening, Today China and the United States agreed to put tariffs on hold while they continue to work on a broader trade agreement that closes the current trade gap between the two countries. The market cheered the action with all of the major indices closing out the day well in the green. One notable thing about the action was a shift of money back into large cap stocks that have lagged due to their international exposure. The Dow Jones Industrial which is made up of 30 large cap stocks was notably higher than the small cap Russell 2000. That said, it was still a decent day for small caps and I would caution anyone that went all in for large caps that it will only take one negative bit of news about the trade negotiations for large cap stocks to sell off hard. My advice would be to buy back into larger stocks in increments if you are inclined to do so. Personally, I still favor having the majority of my investments in small and mid cap companies at this point. The China trade talks are not the only thing that effect larger stocks. We still have a strengthening dollar that will put up significant headwinds for large multinational corporations.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted at gain of +0.68%. For comparison, the Dow gained +1.21%, the Nasdaq +0.54%, and the S&P 500 +0.74%. Praise God for another good day!

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-buy, I-Buy, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +4.03% on the year not including the days gains. Here are the latest posted results:

 

05/18/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.7 17.6258 38.4466 50.8392 31.3382
$ Change 0.0012 0.0381 -0.0982 0.0187 -0.0311
% Change day +0.01% +0.22% -0.25% +0.04% -0.10%
% Change week +0.05% -0.46% -0.47% +0.67% -0.46%
% Change month +0.14% -0.54% +2.63% +4.49% +0.65%
% Change year +1.03% -2.70% +2.22% +4.90% +1.56%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.7766 27.2458 31.2753 34.118 19.7997
$ Change -0.0029 -0.0100 -0.0256 -0.0339 -0.0228
% Change day -0.01% -0.04% -0.08% -0.10% -0.12%
% Change week -0.05% -0.10% -0.19% -0.22% -0.24%
% Change month +0.53% +0.82% +1.42% +1.68% +1.92%
% Change year +1.16% +1.32% +1.75% +1.91% +2.08%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
Another good day in the books. I thank God for that. With the cautiously improving trade relations with China we’ll be seeing a resurgence of the C Fund. That will be the equaling out of the indices that we talked about in recent blogs. We’ll have to keep a close eye on our charts to see how this develops and as always to ensure that our allocation is the best that it can be. That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and I’ll see you tomorrow!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




  • 10/06/25

    Good Afternoon, I am certainly praying for all of you effected by the ongoing government shutdown. I have been there done that and it was no fun. So far the market has shook the shutdown off as it obviously thinks that it won’t last long. My thought is that the market won’t give the shutdown…


  • 09/29/25

    Good Morning, Well this months almost over and so far the major indices are still holding modest gains in the +1.5% range. If we can manage to hold onto or add to those gains we will have achieved what a lot of folks said we could not do. We will have made a profit when…


  • 09/22/25

    Good Morning, Well we got the Fed meeting that we wanted with a quarter point interest rate decrease with the indication that the Fed is planning on two more rate cuts in 2025. As a result, we find ourselves in the odd position of holding a profit in late September. I said in last weeks…