Good Evening, The market seemed a little unsure of it’s self in the early going but found it’s footing on optimism that the US will reach an immigration deal with Mexico that would avoid tariffs going into effect on Mexican goods on June 10th. I’d love to be able to make a prediction and tell you where the market is heading but that’s really not what I do. I am a reactive trader. I react to the action that’s before me. Right now we’re one trade agreement from a rally or one tariff away from a selloff. One tweet away from a correction or one news flash away from record highs. Your guess is as good as mine. In other words it’s day to day and the only way you can even begin to see the moderate to long term picture is by studying the charts.
The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment slipped -0.02%. For comparison, the Dow gained +0.71%, the Nasdaq +0.53%, and the S&P 500 +0.61%.
The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/F. Our allocation is now +11.80% on the year. Here are the latest posted returns:
| 06/06/19 |
|
|
|
Prior Prices |
| Fund |
G Fund |
F Fund |
C Fund |
S Fund |
I Fund |
| Price |
16.1732 |
19.0331 |
41.1511 |
50.6946 |
29.4422 |
| $ Change |
0.0010 |
-0.0005 |
0.2620 |
0.0498 |
0.0174 |
| % Change day |
+0.01% |
+0.00% |
+0.64% |
+0.10% |
+0.06% |
| % Change week |
+0.04% |
+0.11% |
+3.37% |
+3.04% |
+2.05% |
| % Change month |
+0.04% |
+0.11% |
+3.37% |
+3.04% |
+2.05% |
| % Change year |
+1.13% |
+4.91% |
+14.46% |
+15.27% |
+10.22% |
| |
L INC |
L 2020 |
L 2030 |
L 2040 |
L 2050 |
| Price |
20.4252 |
28.0866 |
32.1577 |
35.007 |
20.2637 |
| $ Change |
0.0165 |
0.0300 |
0.0703 |
0.0898 |
0.0582 |
| % Change day |
+0.08% |
+0.11% |
+0.22% |
+0.26% |
+0.29% |
| % Change week |
+0.63% |
+0.84% |
+1.74% |
+2.07% |
+2.35% |
| % Change month |
+0.63% |
+0.84% |
+1.74% |
+2.07% |
+2.35% |
| % Change year |
+3.73% |
+4.83% |
+8.51% |
+9.94% |
+11.16% |
Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund: The C Fund generated an overall neutral signal when the MACD moved into a positive configuration. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
S Fund: The S
Fund generated an overall neutral signal when the MACD moved into a positive configuration and the SCTR moved above 40. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
I Fund: The I Fund generated an overall neutral signal when the MACD moved into a positive configuration. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
F Fund:
Our equity based charts are definitely moving in the right direction. But the question now is can they keep doing it? I certainly wouldn’t bet on it either way. A lot of indicators that I follow are on the fence. Until I see some solid proof that things are improving from several indicators I think I’ll continue to stay in the relative safety of bonds. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott 
***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future.
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at [email protected].
