06/05/18

Good Evening, If you listened to the media today the message was that the Dow and S&P were flat but the Nasdaq hit another new high. While that is true and may satisfy novice level investors it doesn’t go deep enough to tell the real story. The underlying action was mostly in small cap and tech stocks. The underlying train of though was and is that they are the most immune to a trade war. I will agree with that to a certain extent but not entirely because panicked investors and computer algorithms will sell at some point if a trade war gets bad enough and when they do they will sell everything. They will not have any regard for good stocks or bad. They will throw the baby out with the bath water.  Nonetheless, we aren’t dealing with possible future scenarios, we are dealing with the precious present and if you want to make money in this market you need to be invested in the aforementioned securities.  If the market changes then our charts will change and we’ll change. There’s no use in over-complicating things! Not to overuse an old adage but “the trend is your friend” and right now the trend is up and the best place available in Thrift for us to be is in the S Fund…. Like I said , no use in over-complicating things.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted at gain of +0.47%. For comparison, the Dow slipped -0.06%, the Nasdaq gained +0.41%, and the S&P 500 eked out a small gain of +0.07%. Praise God for another good day!

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Sell, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +5.87% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

06/04/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.7211 17.7566 38.957 51.7388 30.8365
$ Change 0.0038 -0.0322 0.1745 0.2890 0.2718
% Change day +0.02% -0.18% +0.45% +0.56% +0.89%
% Change week +0.02% -0.18% +0.45% +0.56% +0.89%
% Change month +0.03% -0.53% +1.55% +1.42% +1.20%
% Change year +1.16% -1.98% +3.58% +6.75% -0.06%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.8252 27.3273 31.4022 34.2726 19.8968
$ Change 0.0251 0.0556 0.1130 0.1456 0.0962
% Change day +0.13% +0.20% +0.36% +0.43% +0.49%
% Change week +0.13% +0.20% +0.36% +0.43% +0.49%
% Change month +0.28% +0.46% +0.84% +1.00% +1.14%
% Change year +1.40% +1.63% +2.17% +2.37% +2.58%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
There’s no reason to even think about making any changes right now. Our allocation is working extremely well. We must give praise and glory to God for guiding our group! If you don’t already know Him take the time to become acquainted with Him through His Son Jesus. Jesus came that we may have life and life abundant. He is the one from whom all blessings flow and He is the reason that our group has been so successful. I promise you, that’s the best advice that you’ll ever read on this blog. That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and I’ll see you tomorrow!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




One response to “06/05/18”
  1. Diana Lofstead Avatar
    Diana Lofstead

    Yep. Best advice ever.

  • 08/07/2024

    Good morning, I’ll keep this brief because I’m on the road again. This market is volatile! I don’t care what the so called experts say. I don’t care what the VIX is. I don’t care whether folks are making money or losing money. It is one of the most volatile and fluid markets I have…


  • *****Interfund Transfer******

    Good Day, It’s time to adjust our mix. The new mix is 100/S. Please remember that this is the percentage of money that we have invested in each fund, not the money that is taken from your check and deposited into thrift. Those future contributions should always be 100% G Fund. That automatically protects your deposit in the event that it…


  • Alert

    Recommended Changes: August 7, 2025 Your Allocation Is 100% invested in the S Fund