06/18/2015

Good Evening, Well, I had a really nice blog written. Just as I was about to finish it a thunderstorm hit the area and I lost my internet. When I got it back up, I had nothing left. So tonight. I’m going to to the very short version. As they used to say on Dagnet “The facts, just the facts”……. The Fed’s cut in the GDP forecast had the bulls off and running again. In short, bad news is good news.  As far as Greece goes, I find it surprising that the market ignored headlines that suggest a Greek exit  from the EU (or as the media calls it a Grexit….). Perhaps they are taking my point of view and are relieved that this seemingly endless saga may indeed be coming to an end. Maybe their starting to realize that the Greek economy isn’t such a big deal on the world stage. Also, here’s another tid bit of information to think about. The European Central Bank holds about 70% of the Greek debt. So how much effect can a Greek default really have on the world monetary system. Lets add it up   Economy the size of Proctor and Gamble   +   70% of Greek Debt held by the ECB  =  Grexit is a non event. I’ll forego another “Greece is saved” rally just to get rid of this annoyance.

The days rally left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gained +1.025%. For comparison the Dow gained +1.00%, the Nasdaq +1.34%, and the S&P 500 +0.99%. Thank God for guiding our Group. Give Him all the thanks and praise!

 

 

Nasdaq at record as Wall Street runs on strong data; Greece eyed

 

The day’s action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Buy, I-Neutral, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 30/C, 70/S. Our allocation is now +5.36% on the year. Here are the latest posted results:

06/18/15
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.7467 16.794 28.2696 39.1077 26.3229
$ Change 0.0009 -0.0265 0.2811 0.4058 0.1094
% Change day +0.01% -0.16% +1.00% +1.05% +0.42%
% Change week +0.03% +0.15% +1.32% +1.21% -0.47%
% Change month +0.10% -1.16% +0.78% +1.92% -0.82%
% Change year +0.89% -0.05% +4.06% +7.75% +8.69%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.7716 23.6976 25.8689 27.655 15.769
$ Change 0.0297 0.0979 0.1393 0.1733 0.1112
% Change day +0.17% +0.41% +0.54% +0.63% +0.71%
% Change week +0.20% +0.41% +0.52% +0.61% +0.66%
% Change month +0.12% +0.23% +0.31% +0.39% +0.43%
% Change year +1.84% +3.49% +4.28% +4.84% +5.42%

 

One more thing I wanted to mention. The EU will be having an emergency meeting on Monday to see if a Greek default can be avoided. That’ll will be the next big market making event. A last minute agreement could give the market a pop. That’s it for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades!  God bless, Scott




  • 09/15/25

    Good Morning, When we went into September invested at 100/S many folks said we’d get knocked out. Well, guess what? We’re still standing. There were many including some in our group that basically said “you messed up this time, no sir not me, I’m not doing that. September is always the worst month for the…


  • 09/08/25

    Good Morning, The train left the station after Fridays jobs report. That may have well been the bottom of the current dip. It is now highly likely that the Fed will reduce rates on Sept 17th. More on that later. Right now lets focus on our trains next stop which will be Wednesdays Producer Price…


  • 09/01/25

    Good Afternoon, Happy Labor Day! I hope this note finds you enjoying some fine cuisine fresh off the grill! Well here we are starting a new month. The dreaded month of September. The weakest month for the stock market since the 20’s and here we are 100% invested in equities. What gives? First of all…