06/19/18

Good Evening, We got hit hard with all three T’s today. Trump, Trade, and Tariffs. The morning started off with China threatening to retaliate hard for US tariffs. The market was no longer able to shrug off the tit for tat behavior of the two largest economies in the world. Many investors flat our panicked and sold heavily and you know what? They lost money because the the dip buyers stepped in and again drove stocks higher into the close. Even though the indices didn’t finish in the green the underlying strength was impressive and is sending a clear signal that this market is not in the mood to head straight down. Someday it will indeed go down. That’s the nature of things but trying to anticipate that has been a losing trade for a while. Right now the trend is still moving up. Perhaps the bears will have their way soon but I’m no ready to bet on it.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gave up -0.16%. For comparison, the Dow lost -1.15%, the Nasdaq -0.28%, and the S&P 500 -0.40%. We may have slipped a little today but I still thank God for our allocations out performance. Better to lose a little than a lot!

 

Trade fears rattle Wall Street, Dow gives up 2018 gains

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy,I-Sell, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +8.28% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

06/18/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.7384 17.7677 39.3708 52.9184 30.465
$ Change 0.0037 -0.0052 -0.0831 0.2050 -0.2439
% Change day +0.02% -0.03% -0.21% +0.39% -0.79%
% Change week +0.02% -0.03% -0.21% +0.39% -0.79%
% Change month +0.14% -0.47% +2.63% +3.73% -0.02%
% Change year +1.27% -1.92% +4.68% +9.19% -1.27%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.864 27.3975 31.5231 34.4247 19.9963
$ Change -0.0087 -0.0239 -0.0542 -0.0703 -0.0461
% Change day -0.04% -0.09% -0.17% -0.20% -0.23%
% Change week -0.04% -0.09% -0.17% -0.20% -0.23%
% Change month +0.47% +0.72% +1.23% +1.44% +1.64%
% Change year +1.60% +1.89% +2.56% +2.83% +3.09%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund: Price still is in a bullish wedge!
S Fund: Price still is in a bullish wedge!
I Fund: SELL
F Fund: Almost a buy signal. I’s like to see some follow though before I move the signal to buy. At this point there’s a great chance of a whipsaw signal. That’s the reason I didn’t call this one a buy just yet. Nonetheless, I wanted to acknowledge that it could technically be called a buy right now. Also. I’d be amiss not to say that I would also prefer to see the 5 EMA over the 200 EMA. This one is close but no cigar just yet…..
Our allocation continues to perform well! That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and I’ll see you tomorrow!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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