07/13/25

Good Day, I’ve been on the road again. So I am off schedule on the blog, but nevertheless we will get one in this week. However, be advised that whether I’m on the road or not we are always watching our charts and will put out an alert if and when we move our money.  As you all know, I’m not exactly retired.  I don’t charge a fee for this service. Therefore, I must do other things to keep the lights on so to speak and occssionally that requires a little traveling. I don’t mind though as I get to meet a lot of wonderful folks along the way.

This week finds the volatility ratcheting a bit. President Trump is working on the tariffs again. Should I say again? I know, he never really stopped. The market started selling off again Friday after he announced a 35% tariff on Canada saying that fentanyl was the reason for the increase. He further stated that Canada must work with us to stem the flow of fentanyl and that if they retaliated for there new tariffs that he would increase them again. He also enacted a a 50% tariff on imported copper and a 50% tariff on Brazil. He has a lot of issues with Brazil. Too many to list here. So click on the link I have provided if you want to know more. I will say this thought. My opinion is that the biggest issue he has with them is their membership in the BRICS trade group which is basically AntiAmerican.  It is a group of the leading emerging economies namely including Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. The chair of the group rotates among those nations. One of the groups big issues is that they what to decrease dependence on the US dollar. Suffice to say President Trump is not fond of the group which I understand represents 42% of the world’s population. With regard to investing, it has been my experience that there will be friction with anyone President Trump does not like and I think that applies double here. We must maintain a high level of  vigilance and check our charts frequently. I know that I am preaching to the choir as that has been the theme for the entirety of 2025. Also, never forget to pray to the One who guides our hand! At least for me, that is the most important thing I can do to help me navigate this market!

 

Fridays trading left us with the following results. Our TSP allotment closed lower at -1.13%. For comparison, the Dow gave up -0.66%, the Nasdaq -0.22%, and the S&P 500 -0.35%. It was not a good day for small and mid cap stocks but I will gladly take the way they have traded most recently.

 

Dow falls 280 points, S&P logs weekly loss as Trump trade war escalates

Recent action has left us with the following signals:  C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Hold, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +11.79% for the year. Here are the latest posted results:

 

07/11/25 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 19.196 20.1001 99.5836 93.5647 49.6648
$ Change 0.0022 -0.0823 -0.3301 -1.0095 -0.3374
% Change day +0.01% -0.41% -0.33% -1.07% -0.67%
% Change week +0.09% -0.33% -0.29% -0.78% -0.71%
% Change month +0.13% -0.79% +0.92% +1.64% -0.12%
% Change year +2.36% +3.19% +7.16% +3.79% +18.54%

More Prices & Returns

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on links below the charts will appear. If you want to learn more about technical analysis check out the website StockCharts.com.  

S Fund

 

I Fund

 

F Fund

 

I am still getting used to this new operating system. The biggest change at least for now is that I have posted links instead of images for the charts above. I don’t know…..that may be an improvement.  I’ll see if I can post the images there instead of links, but for now it will have to be links until the web site folks get this issue worked out. Other than that I have nothing new to add here. Have a great week and may God continue to bless your trades!

God bless, Scott Emoji

***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future.
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com.

 




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  • 07/13/25

    Good Day, I’ve been on the road again. So I am off schedule on the blog, but nevertheless we will get one in this week. However, be advised that whether I’m on the road or not we are always watching our charts and will put out an alert if and when we move our money.…


  • 07/08/2025

    Good Morning, Writing this blog has been a challenge for me since I returned from vacation. Today they refreshed the word press at the website and for some unknown reason I am unable to sign in from my PC. I did update my laptop since last week. So I now have a newer more powerful…


  • 06/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, I have technical problems a plenty today. I finally signed into the website after an hour of trying. I’m not sure whether the problem is on my end or their end, but I finally got signed in using my old (slow laptop). I’m running a diagnostic on my other machines in an attempt…