07/27/18

Good Evening, Yesterday we briefly discussed how Facebook (FB) put pressure on the entire market. Well today that pressure made the dominoes start to fall after Intel (INTC) and Twitter (TWTR) disappointed with their reports. While I think the scorn on Intel was justified, I think it was overblown on Twitter. Way overblown. Either way it is what it is. Tech went down and eventually brought the whole market down hard with it. You can read the particulars in the Link below. The message I want to get across is that if you held other stocks or funds that went down, understand that they aren’t broken. Facebook and Intel are broken, but not your stocks or funds. The sky is not falling! It’s just a combination of some bad news on a Friday afternoon during slow summer trading. With the exception of a few stocks such as the those noted above, earnings haven’t just been good, they have been stellar. The economy is great too. One needs to look no further than today’s GDP report to tell that. Intel and Twitter’s disappointing results overshadowed data from the Commerce Department showing the U.S. economy grew at a 4.1 percent annualized rate in the second quarter, its fastest pace in nearly four years.  If you sold a good stock or fund because of a few broken stocks and not a broken market then you panicked. As I often say in this blog, panic is not a strategy unless of course you are intentionally trying to lose money! Two points you need to take away from this blog. #1. The market will come back. It is not broken. The charts will tell you when and if it is. And #2. We are in the slow summer trading season. Don’t expect any rocket ships but remember, it will come back. While nothing is for sure, I will be a little more than surprised it that’s not the case. Put it this way. You can do what you want but I’m not selling any of mine just yet. You’ll be the first to know when I do!!!!

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment dropped -1.51%. For comparison, the Dow fell -0.30%, the Nasdaq -1.46%, and the S&P 500 -0.66%. It was a rough day for everyone.

 

Tech stocks weigh on Wall Street

The weeks action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +6.86% on the year. Here are the latest posted results:

 

07/27/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.7869 17.8306 40.0656 52.2244 30.9216
$ Change 0.0012 0.0153 -0.2652 -0.7987 0.1417
% Change day +0.01% +0.09% -0.66% -1.51% +0.46%
% Change week +0.06% -0.17% +0.61% -1.56% +1.34%
% Change month +0.21% -0.01% +3.80% +1.50% +2.72%
% Change year +1.59% -1.57% +6.53% +7.75% +0.21%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.9643 27.5572 31.7929 34.7489 20.1969
$ Change -0.0155 -0.0365 -0.0848 -0.1131 -0.0767
% Change day -0.08% -0.13% -0.27% -0.32% -0.38%
% Change week +0.14% +0.19% +0.31% +0.34% +0.37%
% Change month +0.79% +1.13% +1.95% +2.27% +2.54%
% Change year +2.12% +2.48% +3.44% +3.79% +4.13%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
It’s that time of year. We’ll likely thrash around a lot more until we rally in the fall. There’ll be good days and bad days. That’s just kind of market we are in. But I leave you with this thought. You have to be in it to win it! That’s all for this week. Have a nice weekend and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




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