07/05/17

Good Evening, The Fed minutes were released and indicated that the FOMC is concerned about a somewhat slow economy and inflation below their 2% target when considering future interest rate increases. Most investors including me read this to say that interest rates will not be increased in September but possibly in December. The overall result was a flat market today. One other thing that’s interesting about the market recently is that the major indices are not trading in lock step. One session the SPY(C Fund) and the IWM (small caps) will be up and the Nasdaq will sell off and the next day it will be the opposite with the SPY and IWM selling off and the Nasdaq rising. This action is leaving many folks confused. I’m not really sure what to think about it myself but it does tend to give me less confidence in the upside.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment was flat at 0.00%. For comparison, the Dow was near even at -0.01%, the Nasdaq rose +0.67%, and the S&P 500 added +0.15%.

 

Tech lifts Nasdaq; energy curbs Dow, S&P gains

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/I. Our allotment is now +9.31% on the year not including the days results: Here are the latest posted results:

 

07/03/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.3667 17.8473 33.8383 44.2862 28.1369
$ Change 0.0028 -0.0340 0.0809 0.2516 0.0670
% Change day +0.02% -0.19% +0.24% +0.57% +0.24%
% Change week +0.02% -0.19% +0.24% +0.57% +0.24%
% Change month +0.02% -0.19% +0.24% +0.57% +0.24%
% Change year +1.18% +2.29% +9.61% +8.03% +14.37%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 18.9861 25.718 28.7669 31.0331 17.8257
$ Change 0.0113 0.0288 0.0504 0.0643 0.0427
% Change day +0.06% +0.11% +0.18% +0.21% +0.24%
% Change week +0.06% +0.11% +0.18% +0.21% +0.24%
% Change month +0.06% +0.11% +0.18% +0.21% +0.24%
% Change year +3.13% +5.07% +7.20% +8.24% +9.19%

 

Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
 
C fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 09/08/25

    Good Morning, The train left the station after Fridays jobs report. That may have well been the bottom of the current dip. It is now highly likely that the Fed will reduce rates on Sept 17th. More on that later. Right now lets focus on our trains next stop which will be Wednesdays Producer Price…

  • 09/01/25

    Good Afternoon, Happy Labor Day! I hope this note finds you enjoying some fine cuisine fresh off the grill! Well here we are starting a new month. The dreaded month of September. The weakest month for the stock market since the 20’s and here we are 100% invested in equities. What gives? First of all…

  • 08/24/2024

    Good Afternoon, We talked last week about Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole Wyoming being a possible inflection point for the market and that’s exactly what it ended up being. The Fed chairman gave a somewhat dovish address in which he noted that  “the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting…