Good Evening, The first round of tariffs against China went into effect and a strange thing happened. The market rallied. A myriad of good economic news out weighed the negativity of the tariffs and the market moved up. It was a good old wall of worry. That is a term we use for when investors on the sidelines are worried about being left behind. When they enter the market they are said to be “climbing a wall of worry”. The trade war could ultimately put more weight on the market as the amount of tariffs grow, but today’s 34 Billion wasn’t enough to put a damper on good economic news.
The days rally left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a gain of +0.91%. For comparison, the Dow was up +0.41%, the Nasdaq +1.34%, and the S&P 500 +0.85%. Praise God for another great day!
The weeks action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Sell, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +6.88% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:
| 07/05/18 | Prior Prices | ||||
| Fund | G Fund | F Fund | C Fund | S Fund | I Fund |
| Price | 15.7595 | 17.856 | 38.8683 | 52.2354 | 30.0407 |
| $ Change | 0.0025 | 0.0076 | 0.3416 | 0.4879 | 0.1258 |
| % Change day | +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.89% | +0.94% | +0.42% |
| % Change week | +0.04% | +0.13% | +0.70% | +1.52% | -0.21% |
| % Change month | +0.04% | +0.13% | +0.70% | +1.52% | -0.21% |
| % Change year | +1.41% | -1.43% | +3.34% | +7.78% | -2.64% |
| L INC | L 2020 | L 2030 | L 2040 | L 2050 | |
| Price | 19.8373 | 27.3046 | 31.2943 | 34.1188 | 19.7893 |
| $ Change | 0.0327 | 0.0692 | 0.1449 | 0.1869 | 0.1229 |
| % Change day | +0.17% | +0.25% | +0.47% | +0.55% | +0.62% |
| % Change week | +0.14% | +0.20% | +0.35% | +0.42% | +0.48% |
| % Change month | +0.14% | +0.20% | +0.35% | +0.42% | +0.48% |
| % Change year | +1.47% | +1.54% | +1.82% | +1.91% | +2.02% |
3 responses to “07/06/18”
I was 50% C and 50% S but on February 5, after the stocks had several bad days, I put 50% into G and left 15% in each C & S, because I thought stocks would continue to drop due to the interest rates going up. I secured a $50,000 loss that day. I have been waiting ever since for stocks to come back down so I could jump back in. They haven’t.
I just found out about your website last week and see that everything should be in S fund.
Should I jump back into S fund with them being so high now or wait for a drop?
Should I have my money going into G fund and then moving at certain times or just have it go straight to S fund for now.
I would like to get in line with your recommendations.
It is best to put all money coming from your check into the G Fund. That protects it in the event that it is moved into the your account on a bad market day. You can always pick it up the next time you make an interfund transfer. You should absolutely be in the market now. The charts tell us that we are still in a long term uptrend. I can’t say when that will end but for now we are moving up! God bless and have a great day!
Do you