07/31/2015

Good Evening, The market started off slow this morning and then the dip buyers and computer programs stepped in and drove things up. However, the bulls were unable to keep up the pressure and ran out of stream in the afternoon. When all was said and done the major indices finished slightly in the red. A couple bright spots were that the S Fund and I Fund were working good. Add that to the fact that several individual stocks were acting well and the result is that we made money in thrift and I made money on the street. It doesn’t get much better than that on a down day. Give God all the praise as He continues to guide our hand!

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gained +0.20%. For comparison, the Dow lost -0.32%, the Nasdaq -0.01%. and the S&P 500 -0.23%.

 

Wall Street ends lower as weak oil weighs

 

The weeks action left us with the following results: C -Buy, S-Sell, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 33/C, 33/S, 34/I. Our allocation is now +0.09% for the year not including today’s gains. Here are the latest posted results:

 

 

 

07/30/15
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 14.7839 16.8867 28.151 37.9359 26.042
$ Change 0.0009 0.0105 0.0032 0.1048 -0.0390
% Change day +0.01% +0.06% +0.01% +0.28% -0.15%
% Change week +0.04% +0.05% +1.42% +1.07% -0.09%
% Change month +0.19% +0.45% +2.33% -0.43% +0.95%
% Change year +1.15% +0.51% +3.63% +4.52% +7.53%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 17.78 23.617 25.7223 27.4469 15.6265
$ Change 0.0019 0.0022 0.0037 0.0061 0.0033
% Change day +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.02% +0.02%
% Change week +0.23% +0.48% +0.61% +0.70% +0.77%
% Change month +0.49% +0.87% +1.03% +1.11% +1.21%
% Change year +1.89% +3.14% +3.69% +4.05% +4.47%

 

Here are today’s charts: (All signals annotated with Green Circles)

 

C Fund: This fund didn’t make a gain, but it held it’s ground and that was good enough to maintain it’s buy signal.

C Fund

 

S Fund: Price regained it’s 100 EMA today with another small gain. This fund is still a sell signal, but it is definitely improving!

S Fund

 

I Fund: Price closed back above it’s 20 EMA today. This fund can generate a buy signal if price can hold this ground! The I Fund is getting stronger.

I Fund

 

F Fund: Price made another nice gain today continuing up the newly established ascending channel. Bonds are definitely responding to the fact that expectations for an interest rate hike have diminished. The F Fund continues to strengthen. How far can it go? That really depends on what the FED does next month and while a lot of folks think they won’t raise rates it’s really a day to day thing. I’m sure all the speculation will make for a bumpy ride, but in the end, the charts won’t lie!

F Fund

 

 

That’s all for July. Wow, it sure went by fast. Monday is a new month and falls in the seasonal period that traders refer to as the dog days of summer. This is due to the fact that many investors schedule vacation during this time and things are generally very slow. As usual I’ll pray and watch my charts. Those of us who have traded for a long time were discussing the dark side of the market today. We were talking about the fact that no matter how dark the market has seemed in the past, that God has always seen us through to a successful outcome. I don’t know if interest rates will increase or if the bottom will drop out of the market this fall as many predict that it will. All I know is that when it is all said and done, that God will help us find a way to survive. He always has and He always will. Give Him all the praise for He and He alone is worthy! Have a great weekend and I’ll see you in August!

God bless, Scott8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program in to the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 




  • 04/21/25

    Good Afternoon, The sky is falling right??? Well…..that all depends on your point of view. One thing we can all agree on though. This is a difficult market. It is not a pleasant market to trade. I’ve had more than a few comments and questions mostly off the record. It’s going down we’re losing money….…


  • 04/15/2024

    Good Day, You can read about anything you want to read about the current market. If you have a certain point of view you can find an article to assuage your feelings. It’s nice to feel good, but that kind of feel good doesn’t necessarily make you money. Just because you can find someone who…


  • 04/07/25

    Good Morning, I hate writing about things like this. Nobody really wants to hear it but it’s something that must be done. Are my message boards flooded? Oh yeah. You’ve got the combination of an unprecedented global event coupled with the fact that a lot of folks that are trading now never experienced a market…