08/13/19

Good Evening, Today the market continued it’s bi-polar behavior by reversing and moving up again after President Trump announced that he was delaying new tariffs on Chinese products. Folks it makes you dizzy trying to keep up with all the reversals that this market is having. If you don’t like the action just wait a day or so and it will reverse! All that said, I would remind everyone that nothing concrete has changed. There is still no trade agreement and the chances for future disappointment are high. Nothing has taken place that will support a lasting rally. On top of that, the coming weeks are the worst of the year for Wall Street. So don’t throw caution to the wind……

Today’s trading left us with the following signals: Our TSP allotment slipped -0.14%. For comparison, the Dow added +1.44%, the Nasdaq +1.95%, and the S&P 500 +1.48%. No doubt, the major indices erased a lot of their losses from the past two days. However, volatility is still very much with us.

 

Tech leads Wall Street higher as tariff delay sparks rally

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Sell, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/F. Our allocation is now +8.17% for the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

08/12/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.2378 19.6418 41.8632 50.9681 29.1065
$ Change 0.0029 0.0931 -0.4997 -0.7346 -0.2041
% Change day +0.02% +0.48% -1.18% -1.42% -0.70%
% Change week +0.02% +0.48% -1.18% -1.42% -0.70%
% Change month +0.07% +1.81% -3.15% -4.56% -2.74%
% Change year +1.54% +8.26% +16.44% +15.90% +8.96%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 20.5512 28.2825 32.3918 35.2699 20.4152
$ Change -0.0363 -0.0673 -0.1913 -0.2520 -0.1684
% Change day -0.18% -0.24% -0.59% -0.71% -0.82%
% Change week -0.18% -0.24% -0.59% -0.71% -0.82%
% Change month -0.51% -0.70% -1.77% -2.16% -2.50%
% Change year +4.37% +5.56% +9.30% +10.76% +11.99%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:

 

I Fund:

 

F Fund:

 

My best guess is that the market will continue higher for a day or so. But remember, we are only one bad China trade headline from a sell off. I’ll watch my charts and see if the risk decreases. However, at least for now, I’m staying in bonds… That’s all for tonight. have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades.

God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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