08/17/18

Good Evening, The market moved up today on positive sentiment based on favorable trade news. The word being reported in the media is that progress is being made on trade negotiations with Mexico and China. Trade sensitive stocks such as Caterpillar (CAT) and Deere & Co (DE) moved higher on the positive news. I sure don’t know if we’re really closer to reaching a deal or not. But what I do know is what I said before. Other counties and China in particular are not going to walk away from this cash cow. It is and always has been quite simple. They have more to lose than we do.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a gain of +0.40%. For comparison, the Dow added +0.43%, the Nasdaq +0.13%, and the S&P 500 +0.33%. I praise God for another day in the green!

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Buy,I-Sell, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +8.94% on the year. Here are the latest posted results:

 

08/17/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.814 17.9316 40.5804 53.2397 29.7028
$ Change 0.0013 0.0032 0.1375 0.2038 0.0818
% Change day +0.01% +0.02% +0.34% +0.38% +0.28%
% Change week +0.06% -0.01% +0.66% +0.32% -1.09%
% Change month +0.14% +0.52% +1.36% +1.80% -3.69%
% Change year +1.76% -1.01% +7.90% +9.85% -3.74%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.9886 27.579 31.7856 34.7278 20.1777
$ Change 0.0146 0.0307 0.0644 0.0831 0.0547
% Change day +0.07% +0.11% +0.20% +0.24% +0.27%
% Change week +0.06% +0.06% +0.07% +0.07% +0.07%
% Change month +0.11% +0.09% +0.02% +0.00% -0.03%
% Change year +2.24% +2.56% +3.41% +3.73% +4.03%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund: The S Fund generated an overall Buy signal when the MACD moved into a positive configuration. The previous neutral signal was generated then two indicators moved into negative configurations. The move by the MACD now leaves only the PMO in a negative configuration. The SCTR remains above 40.
I Fund:
F Fund:
This week was just typical August trading with a lot of give and take but with little overall movement. Expect more of the same for the next six or eight weeks. That’s all for tonight. Have great weekend and I’ll see you Monday!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

Interested in speaking to a financial advisor about additional investments?

     

     

     




    • 09/08/25

      Good Morning, The train left the station after Fridays jobs report. That may have well been the bottom of the current dip. It is now highly likely that the Fed will reduce rates on Sept 17th. More on that later. Right now lets focus on our trains next stop which will be Wednesdays Producer Price…


    • 09/01/25

      Good Afternoon, Happy Labor Day! I hope this note finds you enjoying some fine cuisine fresh off the grill! Well here we are starting a new month. The dreaded month of September. The weakest month for the stock market since the 20’s and here we are 100% invested in equities. What gives? First of all…


    • 08/24/2024

      Good Afternoon, We talked last week about Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole Wyoming being a possible inflection point for the market and that’s exactly what it ended up being. The Fed chairman gave a somewhat dovish address in which he noted that  “the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting…