08/27/19

Good Evening, And the market confusion continues. Bond yields inverted again today, the US says China called to restart meetings, China says they haven’t talked to the US, will the Fed decrease rates again in September, and on and on. It’s the song that never ends. The market is totally discombobulated! Add a few more presidential tweets to that along with some more algorithm trading and it really will be a mess. However, it will be a mess without us! The dropping bond yield actually made us a little money. Praise God for guiding us to the F Fund. The key to dealing with this is to not get overly excited when the market heads up for a day or two.  Don’t trade with your emotions. Trade with your chart not your heart! Folks, I have a lot of different charts and indicators that I watch. It actually takes me thirty minutes to get through them going as fast as I can go. That’s a lot of charts! And you know how many say to get into equities right now??? Not one. Not even one! Our task is not to make every penny we can. Our task is to make every penny we can as safely as possible. Job one is to manage to risk! Job two is to make money! Remember this is your retirement money. Imagine life after the government without it. Never forget. Never ever forget. It’s not what you make that’s important. It’s what you keep!!!!!!!

The days trading left us with the following signals: Our TSP allotment posted a decent gain of +0.32%. Thought the bond yield couldn’t go any lower?? Think again! For comparison, the Dow lost -0.47%, the Nasdaq -0.34%, and the S&P 500 -0.32%. Praise God for another good day for bonds!

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Sell, S-Sell, I-Sell, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/F. Our allocation is now +8.66% for the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results.

 

08/26/19 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 16.251 19.7297 41.8277 50.53 28.9712
$ Change 0.0029 -0.0229 0.4592 0.4283 0.0607
% Change day +0.02% -0.12% +1.11% +0.85% +0.21%
% Change week +0.02% -0.12% +1.11% +0.85% +0.21%
% Change month +0.15% +2.27% -3.24% -5.38% -3.19%
% Change year +1.62% +8.75% +16.34% +14.90% +8.45%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 20.5562 28.283 32.349 35.2053 20.3678
$ Change 0.0334 0.0579 0.1443 0.1863 0.1224
% Change day +0.16% +0.21% +0.45% +0.53% +0.60%
% Change week +0.16% +0.21% +0.45% +0.53% +0.60%
% Change month -0.48% -0.69% -1.90% -2.33% -2.72%
% Change year +4.40% +5.56% +9.15% +10.56% +11.73%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
Be patient! We need a trade deal for this thing to work!! Anything else is pure speculation. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott Sunglasses
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…


  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…


  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…