Good Evening, Well lets close out the books on another September. We survived to invest another month. The market eased off to end the month on a positive note after putting up negative numbers last week. Today’s optimism was generated by an announcement by the Trump administration that last weeks report that the administration was considering delisting several Chinese companies from the US stock exchange was “fake news”. My my, didn’t the aglo’s have a field day with that one… Also boosting the market was a report that Tim Cook,CEO of Apple stated that demand for the new I Phone is strong. In addition, investors are looking forward to the resumption of trade talks with China next week. My take on that is that we’ve heard all this before and that we won’t have deal until we actually see one. It’s probably not wise to come totally out of the trenches until that takes place. This could turn out to be a decent week as we ride this trade optimism into a new month with the Chinese markets shut down all week for a holiday. As far as that goes, the old adage applies that no news is good news. However, traders may be setting themselves up for a disappointment next week if the negotiations take a negative turn as they have in the past. With that taken into consideration I would definitely keep my guard up.
The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a gain of +0.50%. For comparison, the Dow was up +0.36%, the Nasdaq +0.75%, and the S&P 500 +0.50%. Praise God for a good day!
The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Sell, I-Buy, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/C. Our allocation is now +6.59% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:
| 09/27/19 |
|
|
|
Prior Prices |
| Fund |
G Fund |
F Fund |
C Fund |
S Fund |
I Fund |
| Price |
16.2758 |
19.6789 |
43.116 |
51.4884 |
30.3411 |
| $ Change |
0.0007 |
0.0130 |
-0.2243 |
-0.4905 |
0.0679 |
| % Change day |
+0.00% |
+0.07% |
-0.52% |
-0.94% |
+0.22% |
| % Change week |
+0.03% |
+0.37% |
-0.98% |
-2.20% |
-0.66% |
| % Change month |
+0.12% |
-0.59% |
+1.35% |
+0.64% |
+3.22% |
| % Change year |
+1.77% |
+8.47% |
+19.93% |
+17.08% |
+13.58% |
| |
L INC |
L 2020 |
L 2030 |
L 2040 |
L 2050 |
| Price |
20.7268 |
28.5728 |
33.037 |
36.0877 |
20.9444 |
| $ Change |
-0.0121 |
-0.0221 |
-0.0612 |
-0.0811 |
-0.0545 |
| % Change day |
-0.06% |
-0.08% |
-0.18% |
-0.22% |
-0.26% |
| % Change week |
-0.17% |
-0.23% |
-0.59% |
-0.72% |
-0.84% |
| % Change month |
+0.46% |
+0.56% |
+1.15% |
+1.35% |
+1.52% |
| % Change year |
+5.27% |
+6.64% |
+11.47% |
+13.33% |
+14.89% |
Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund: The C Fund generated an overall neutral signal when the PMO moved into a negative configuration. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
S Fund: The S Fund generated an overall sell signal when the 5 EMA moved down through the50 EMA with the PMO and MACD in negative configurations accompanied by and SCTR below 40. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
I Fund:
F Fund: The F Fund generated an overall buy signal when the MACD moved into a positive configuration. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
We may make a run this week barring more earthshaking political news but it’s next week that we really need to watch. The trade negotiations with China could drastically move us one way or the other. Beware of meaningless news being used by the algorithms to fake you fake you out of your hard earned money! Take the time to consider whether it’s real and whether it’s truly meaningful before you make any big moves. Start thinking about it now and have a plan before it comes! That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades.
God bless, Scott 
***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future.
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at [email protected].
