Good Evening, The market was suffering after an intraday reversal until Walmart came out with a forecast that their internet sales would increase by 40% next fiscal year. That was all the dip buyers needed to step in and drive the indices back into the green. While the gains were nothing frothy, the Dow did manage to set a new record. Better forward than backward!!
The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment gained +0.16%. For comparison, the Dow was up +0.31%, the Nasdaq +0.11%, and the S&P 500 +0.23%. OK, it’s time for small caps to pick back up. After all, it’s their time of the year to shine!
The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Sell. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +15.44% on the year not including the days results: Here are the latest posted results:
| 10/09/17 |
|
|
|
Prior Prices |
| Fund |
G Fund |
F Fund |
C Fund |
S Fund |
I Fund |
| Price |
15.4553 |
18.0083 |
35.7093 |
46.8613 |
29.58 |
| $ Change |
0.0000 |
0.0000 |
0.0000 |
0.0000 |
0.0000 |
| % Change day |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
| % Change week |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
| % Change month |
+0.04% |
-0.15% |
+1.25% |
+1.37% |
-0.05% |
| % Change year |
+1.77% |
+3.21% |
+15.67% |
+14.31% |
+20.24% |
| |
L INC |
L 2020 |
L 2030 |
L 2040 |
L 2050 |
| Price |
19.2832 |
26.3441 |
29.8072 |
32.3239 |
18.6547 |
| $ Change |
0.0000 |
0.0000 |
0.0000 |
0.0000 |
0.0000 |
| % Change day |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
| % Change week |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
| % Change month |
+0.19% |
+0.34% |
+0.54% |
+0.64% |
+0.72% |
| % Change year |
+4.74% |
+7.62% |
+11.07% |
+12.74% |
+14.27% |
Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
A weaker dollar in the past few days has provided a tailwind for the I fund while conversely small caps have taken a few days off. Those in my opinion are the reasons our allocation has under performed somewhat in recent days. Given current world conditions. I do not see the dollar continuing to weaken. At the same time I still look for small cap stocks to finish the year strong. While I am not satisfied with the performance of our allocation over the past several sessions I am not in the panic mode either. I believe if we are patient we will have our day. I intend to remain disciplined and stick with our system. November and December are normally the best months of the year for small caps. That coupled with the recent strength in the dollar made it a good time for us to shift our allocation to the S Fund which is made up of small and mid cap stocks. That said, if you find your self uncomfortable with the current allocation, you can always play the field and change your allocation to 50/S ; 50/I. That would be my recommendation. That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and I’ll see you tomorrow.
God bless, Scott 
***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future.
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at [email protected].
