11/07/18

Good Evening, The voters have spoken and the market has reacted. The reaction for now at least is that the market views the split congress as a glass half full. The way I hear a lot of the chatter is that investors feel that the current pro business policies are safe. Their thinking is that the pro-business Trump fiscal policies are still in place and deregulation will continue, but new stimulus policies that may push interest rates higher are being avoided. They also feel that the Democratic house will keep the administration in check with regard to the trade war. The whole thing is thought of as a Goldilocks situation. Not to hot and not too cold. While some of that argument has merit, I’m not totally ready to sound the all clear tone. Once the newness wears off of this arrangement, the reality of more political battles might set in and that distraction is not necessarily something the market likes. Dealing with issues such as the budget and debt ceiling will likely present problems. We will see how it all goes but my guess is that it may not be as smooth as today’s celebration suggests…….

The days rally left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a gain of 1.73%. For comparison, the Dow added +2.13%, the Nasdaq +2.64%, and the S&P 500 +2.12%. Praise God for a great day!

 

Wall Street rallies on U.S. elections; tech, health stocks lead

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +1.06% not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results.

 

11/06/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.9188 17.6755 39.3644 49.5006 28.413
$ Change 0.0014 0.0012 0.2481 0.2238 0.0780
% Change day +0.01% +0.01% +0.63% +0.45% +0.28%
% Change week +0.03% +0.11% +1.20% +0.44% -0.11%
% Change month +0.05% -0.18% +1.63% +2.44% +1.10%
% Change year +2.43% -2.43% +4.66% +2.13% -7.92%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.9164 27.3525 31.072 33.7456 19.5057
$ Change 0.0213 0.0434 0.0941 0.1210 0.0791
% Change day +0.11% +0.16% +0.30% +0.36% +0.41%
% Change week +0.17% +0.24% +0.43% +0.50% +0.56%
% Change month +0.35% +0.51% +0.97% +1.15% +1.31%
% Change year +1.87% +1.72% +1.09% +0.80% +0.56%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund: The C Fund generated an overall Buy signal when the 5 EMA passed up thorough the 200 EMA. Two or more negative signals or the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA  or an SCTR below 40 generate a neutral signal. Any three indicators negative accompanied by both or either the 5 EMA below the 50 EMA or 200 EMA or an SCTR below 40 generate a sell signal. A buy signal is generated then the 5 EMA is above the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, One or less indicators are negative, and the SCTR is higher than 40.
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
Prayerfully, the worst is over now and we’ll move higher into 2019. That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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