11/30/18

Good Evening, Normally I like November both as a family time and a good trading month. This time I think I’m glad to see it go as far as trading goes. The G-20 summit began today in Brazil. The headlines say the participants are united against protectionism. So does that mean that their united against us and will they be against protectionism if they are the ones getting the short end of the stick? Just saying… There are also numerous comments about how the US and China are making progress. I certainly hope that’s true but I want to see it before I get too excited. The main focus of investors, remains on the how trade relations are going with China, how accommodating the Fed is and whats going on with oil. If all the stars line up we should get a nice rally into the new year. Either way I’ll react to what I see on my charts. I’m a little off cycle right now but that will come to an end when the charts call for our next move. Sometimes you just have to do the right thing and then be patient when your playing the long game. Also, I would be amiss not to repeat that there are a lot of things that could go wrong this weekend. I’m optimistic but I’m also happy to sit this one out and see exactly where it goes.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment was steady in the G Fund. For comparison, the Dow was up +0.79%, the Nasdaq +0.79%, and the S&P 500 +0.82%. Praise God that we had some green on the screen.

 

Wall Street rises on trade hopes; S&P, Nasdaq post best weeks in 7 years

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Neutral, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/G. Our allocation is now -4.07% on the year. Here are the latest posted returns:

 

11/30/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.9516 17.8157 39.5201 49.2448 28.0669
$ Change 0.0014 0.0096 0.3269 0.3410 -0.1595
% Change day +0.01% +0.05% +0.83% +0.70% -0.57%
% Change week +0.06% +0.14% +4.91% +3.58% +0.96%
% Change month +0.26% +0.62% +2.04% +1.92% -0.13%
% Change year +2.65% -1.65% +5.08% +1.61% -9.04%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.9521 27.3917 31.079 33.7339 19.4875
$ Change 0.0177 0.0353 0.0753 0.0965 0.0630
% Change day +0.09% +0.13% +0.24% +0.29% +0.32%
% Change week +0.75% +1.11% +2.13% +2.53% +2.86%
% Change month +0.53% +0.65% +0.99% +1.12% +1.22%
% Change year +2.05% +1.87% +1.12% +0.76% +0.47%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
All eye’s are on the G-20 this weekend. We’ll see what happens and react to whatever it does on the charts. That’s all for tonight. Have a great weekend and I’ll see you Monday.
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

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