11/06/17

Good Evening, The price of oil moved up today and the market moved up (slightly) with it. The culprit was Saudi Arabia’s crown prince who moved to consolidate his power with several arrests for corruption. The market reaction was because the action by the crown prince could possibly disrupt the flow of oil. Corruption, consolidation of power….OK. Anyway the other driving force for today’s market was the proposed merger between tech giants Broadcom and Qualcom. Boradcom offered to buy Qualcom for 103 billion. The end result was that both issues barely moved the major indices. However, they did manage move them to records which as usual the media found exciting.

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment posted a gain of +0.28%. For comparison, the Dow added +0.04%, the Nasdaq +0.33% and the S&P 500 +0.13%. Thank God for another good day!

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Neutral, S-Neutral, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +15.34% for the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

11/03/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.4821 18.077 36.2743 46.8185 30.1451
$ Change 0.0010 0.0040 0.1152 0.0675 -0.0789
% Change day +0.01% +0.02% +0.32% +0.14% -0.26%
% Change week +0.04% +0.44% +0.29% -0.25% +0.92%
% Change month +0.02% +0.16% +0.51% -0.13% +0.31%
% Change year +1.94% +3.60% +17.50% +14.20% +22.53%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.368 26.5144 30.0915 32.6738 18.8768
$ Change 0.0058 0.0129 0.0228 0.0284 0.0182
% Change day +0.03% +0.05% +0.08% +0.09% +0.10%
% Change week +0.14% +0.20% +0.29% +0.32% +0.35%
% Change month +0.10% +0.15% +0.23% +0.26% +0.29%
% Change year +5.20% +8.32% +12.13% +13.96% +15.63%

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund: The I Fund Generated an overall buy signal when the MACD moved into a positive configuration. For those of you who are new and may be wondering what the heck I’m talking about, we generally call a chart neutral (or hold) when two of our indicators are in negative configurations. We call it a sell when four are negative. Also, just one caveat, we will never call a chart a buy unless the SCTR is higher than 40.
F Fund: The F Fund is still classified as neutral even though four indicators Price, PMO, MACD, and WM%R are in positive configurations. In our system the SCTR must also be 40 or higher before a chart can generate a buy signal. The SCTR for the F Fund is currently only 23.
Nothing new to add here. We just need to keep watching the charts. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades.
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 




  • 05/12/25

    Good Morning, Our charts told us we were at the bottom and the fundamentals agreed. The opportunity was so compelling that we probably jumped back in a few weeks to early, but we wanted to make darn sure we were positioned for the run that would surely come. The market dipped and many chicken little…


  • 05/05/25

    Good Morning, Inevitably, we will have a down day and today is it. Believe it or not the S&P 500 has gone up the past nine sessions and it’s been a long time since it’s done that. So a down day today is not so bad. The recent run has pretty much put things back…


  • 04/29/2025

    Good Afternoon, This was a Fed Driven market. It was all about when the Fed would be reducing interest rates based on inflation and that’s still the case to a certain degree, but in all actuality everything is waiting on the outcome of the tariff situation. So given that fact I’m going to say that…