11/18/17

Good Evening, The market rallied on increased expectations that a corporate tax cut will pass before the weeks end. The republicans picked up another key vote from Senator Susan Collins that all but insures passage of the tax reform bill. Also adding to the good mood was the continued frothy bitcoin speculation. It sure reminds me of the tech bubble in 2000 but a lot of folks are making a lot of money and that is making them feel very good indeed which makes me wonder how they will feel when all the bitcoin related stocks take a dive. I have a slight concern that it may be a drag on the market as a whole when that day comes and rest assured, it will come. Finally, you have one of most bullish seasonal periods of the year over the next two weeks. This is all exceptionally good for us as it is also the most bullish times of the year for small caps which will do nothing but benefit our allocation which is 100% invested in the S Fund. That’s the reason it pays to stick with your plan when you don’t have a solid reason to leave it. Panic is never a good strategy. We could have moved to the G Fund when all the negative news came out concerning passage of the tax bill, but instead we stuck to our plan and now we will now be rewarded for discipline! Praise God for His guidance!

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment had a nice gain of +1.17%. For comparison, the Dow added +0.57%, the Nasdaq +0.84%, and the S&P 500 +0.54%. We carried the day! The small caps in our S Fund boosted it’s overall performance. That’s what small caps usually do this time of year!

 

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Buy, S-Buy, I-Buy, F-Neutral. We are currently invested at 100/S. Our allocation is now +18.42% for the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results:

 

 

12/15/17 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.5244 18.1315 37.6209 48.0689 30.1911
$ Change 0.0010 -0.0030 0.3370 0.5502 -0.1282
% Change day +0.01% -0.02% +0.90% +1.16% -0.42%
% Change week +0.05% +0.29% +0.95% +0.32% +0.14%
% Change month +0.10% +0.57% +1.14% -0.35% -0.59%
% Change year +2.22% +3.92% +21.86% +17.25% +22.72%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.507 26.8012 30.5827 33.2854 19.2702
$ Change 0.0217 0.0535 0.1023 0.1317 0.0870
% Change day +0.11% +0.20% +0.34% +0.40% +0.45%
% Change week +0.17% +0.27% +0.41% +0.47% +0.52%
% Change month +0.19% +0.24% +0.31% +0.33% +0.34%
% Change year +5.96% +9.49% +13.96% +16.09% +18.04%

 

 

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund: The S Fund generated an overall buy signal when both the PMO and MACD moved into positive configurations.
I Fund:
F Fund: An SCTR of only 13.9 signals continued weakness in bonds which bodes well for stock prices.
Praise God we’re in the drivers seat now. Enjoy the ride while it lasts. That’s all for tonight. Have a nice evening and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 




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