12/11/18

Good Evening, The word for the day is UNCERTAINTY.  The market hates it and we have it. Uncertainty. Uncertainty on whether or not the government will shut down as Democrats and Republicans spar. Uncertainty about Brexit. Uncertainty about the trade war with China. Uncertainty about interest rates. Just a whole lot of uncertainty. We also have volatility which by the way is the product of uncertainty. It’s a miracle that we didn’t have another major sell off today. So do you think  their going to solve all these problems tomorrow? Neither do I and that’s why I’m out!

The days trading left us with the following results: Our TSP allotment was steady in the G Fund. For comparison, the Dow dropped -0.22%, the Nasdaq added +0.16%, and the S&P 500 slipped -0.04%. It was another wild day with the market moving up and down several hundred points between gains and losses.

 

S&P 500, Dow edge lower as U.S. shutdown threat, China trade in focus

The days action left us with the following signals: C-Sell, S-Sell, I-Sell, F-Buy. We are currently invested at 100/G. Our allocation is now -3.99% on the year not including the days results. Here are the latest posted results.

 

12/10/18 Prior Prices
Fund G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
Price 15.9649 17.9719 37.7884 46.7047 26.8776
$ Change 0.0040 0.0026 0.0673 -0.1551 -0.4042
% Change day +0.03% +0.01% +0.18% -0.33% -1.48%
% Change week +0.03% +0.01% +0.18% -0.33% -1.48%
% Change month +0.08% +0.88% -4.38% -5.16% -4.24%
% Change year +2.73% -0.79% +0.47% -3.63% -12.89%
  L INC L 2020 L 2030 L 2040 L 2050
Price 19.7961 27.0471 30.2697 32.6769 18.7867
$ Change -0.0117 -0.0281 -0.0704 -0.0935 -0.0628
% Change day -0.06% -0.10% -0.23% -0.29% -0.33%
% Change week -0.06% -0.10% -0.23% -0.29% -0.33%
% Change month -0.78% -1.26% -2.60% -3.13% -3.60%
% Change year +1.26% +0.58% -1.52% -2.40% -3.14%

 

 Now lets take a look at the charts. All signals are annotated with green circles. If you click on the charts they will become larger.
C Fund:
S Fund:
I Fund:
F Fund:
Right now this market is unstable and uncertain at best. Our task is to monitor our charts and patiently wait for the next entry point. It could come in a matter of days or it could take months. We will just have to patiently wait and see. Warren Buffet once said that  “The market is a vehicle for transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient.” That’s all for tonight. Have a great evening and may God continue to bless your trades!
God bless, Scott 8-)
 
 ***Just a reminder that you can review the performance of our allocation at the Web Site TSPTALK.com in the autotracker section under the screen name KyFan1.
 
 
I produce and publish this blog as both a ministry and for the benefit of any Federal Government Employee. This is done to offer you some guidance as to how to approach your retirement more financially successful. When it is time for you to retire, I recommend you utilize the services of a Professional Money Manager, who works with a reputable investment firm. He understands the guidance you have already received and he can manage your savings assets utilizing a more advanced investment program into the future. 
 
If you would like to receive more information about this introduction, please feel free to contact me at  KyFan1@aol.com. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Written By

Scott Grimes

  • 10/06/25

    Good Afternoon, I am certainly praying for all of you effected by the ongoing government shutdown. I have been there done that and it was no fun. So far the market has shook the shutdown off as it obviously thinks that it won’t last long. My thought is that the market won’t give the shutdown…

  • 09/29/25

    Good Morning, Well this months almost over and so far the major indices are still holding modest gains in the +1.5% range. If we can manage to hold onto or add to those gains we will have achieved what a lot of folks said we could not do. We will have made a profit when…

  • 09/22/25

    Good Morning, Well we got the Fed meeting that we wanted with a quarter point interest rate decrease with the indication that the Fed is planning on two more rate cuts in 2025. As a result, we find ourselves in the odd position of holding a profit in late September. I said in last weeks…